Germany · 2. Bundesliga

Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Kick-off 12:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Energie Cottbus 34.6% Draw 19.6% SpVgg Greuther Fürth 45.8%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

84%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.7%

Exact-score model probability

Energie Cottbus

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 3:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

L D W L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Energie Cottbus win34.6%

Draw19.6%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win45.8%

Over 1.5 goals96.1%

Over 2.5 goals86.4%

Over 3.5 goals71.7%

Both teams to score83.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.3%

Home Team to Score

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.582.8%

Goal in Both Halves82.8%

Home or Away (12)81.4%

Draw or Away (X2)64.7%

Draw No Bet - Away56.9%

Home or Draw (1X)53.5%

Away Win46.3%

Draw No Bet - Home43.1%

Home Win35.1%

Draw18.4%

Exactly 1 Goal3.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals95.3%

Over 2.5 Goals86.3%

Over 3.5 Goals71.5%

4+ Goals71.5%

Under 5.5 Goals64.0%

Over 4.5 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals46.4%

2-4 Goals41.8%

Over 5.5 Goals36.0%

3-4 Goals32.7%

Under 3.5 Goals28.5%

1-3 Goals27.5%

2-3 Goals23.8%

Exactly 3 Goals14.7%

Under 2.5 Goals13.7%

1-2 Goals12.8%

Exactly 2 Goals9.1%

Under 1.5 Goals4.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.4%

Home Team to Score89.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)17.1%

Away Clean Sheet10.2%

Away Win to Nil9.5%

Home Clean Sheet7.4%

Home Win to Nil6.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.4%

Home Over 0.589.5%

Away Over 1.573.1%

Home Over 1.566.2%

Away Over 2.548.0%

Away 3+ Goals48.0%

Home Over 2.539.7%

Home 3+ Goals39.7%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 225.1%

Home Exactly 123.3%

Away Exactly 119.3%

Home Exactly 010.2%

Away Exactly 07.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)71.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home71.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)53.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home53.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away28.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.5%

Away to win by 117.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.4%

Away to win by 3+15.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.3%

Home to win by 115.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.3%

Away to win by 213.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.2%

Home to win by 210.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.5%

Home to win by 3+9.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.578.4%

Away & Over 2.541.7%

Away & BTTS36.8%

Home & Over 2.531.4%

Home & BTTS28.4%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Draw & Over 2.513.2%

Away & No BTTS9.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.9%

Home & No BTTS6.7%

Draw & Under 2.55.3%

Away & Under 2.54.6%

BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Home & Under 2.53.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.9%

HT Over 1.564.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Both Teams Score44.2%

HT Away Win39.1%

HT Under 1.535.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win31.8%

HT/FT Away/Away29.9%

HT Draw29.1%

HT/FT Home/Home21.8%

Equal Goals Each Half18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.0%

HT Under 0.511.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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