Kenya · Super League
Equity Bank vs Soy United
📊 Our Prediction
Draw
60% confidence
Over 2.5 - 6%
BTTS - 9%
🎯 Best Pick
Draw
High draw probability
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Under 2.5 Goals
Low scoring teams
Home Clean Sheet
Equity Bank defensive strength
🤖 AI Match Analysis
Equity Bank and Soy United have a significant form gap, with Equity Bank having a strong defensive record. Soy United has a higher attacking threat, but Equity Bank's home advantage could neutralize this. The lack of H2H data makes this match difficult to predict, but the Poisson model probabilities suggest a high chance of a draw. The low expected goals and high clean sheet percentages also support a low-scoring match.
Top Tip
The draw is the most likely outcome due to the teams' similar pi-ratings and the high draw probability in the league
📈 Probability Breakdown
Equity Bank win20.0%
Draw60.0%
Soy United win20.0%
Over 1.5 goals12.8%
Over 2.5 goals6.2%
Over 3.5 goals0.3%
Both teams to score8.7%
How we predict:
Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.