Spain · La Liga

Espanyol vs Levante

Kick-off 18:00 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Espanyol 46.7% Draw 25.5% Levante 27.8%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

57%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Levante: 8 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.8%

Exact-score model probability

Espanyol

D W W L L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Levante

L W W W L D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:11 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 4

Espanyol 1wins ·3 draws ·Levante 0wins

Espanyol 0-0 LevanteApr 27, 2026

Espanyol 1-1 LevanteJan 11, 2026

Espanyol 1-1 LevanteMar 12, 2022

Espanyol 4-3 LevanteDec 11, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Espanyol win46.7%

Draw25.5%

Levante win27.8%

Over 1.5 goals73.0%

Over 2.5 goals48.0%

Over 3.5 goals26.2%

Both teams to score65.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

90.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.3%

Home or Draw (1X)67.7%

Both Halves Over 0.561.1%

Goal in Both Halves61.1%

Draw No Bet - Home57.7%

Draw or Away (X2)56.0%

Home Win44.0%

Draw No Bet - Away42.3%

Away Win32.3%

Draw23.7%

Exactly 1 Goal14.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Under 5.5 Goals90.8%

Over 1.5 Goals81.2%

Under 4.5 Goals80.3%

Under 3.5 Goals63.1%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals59.3%

1-3 Goals58.4%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.2%

Under 2.5 Goals40.7%

3-4 Goals39.6%

Over 3.5 Goals36.9%

4+ Goals36.9%

1-2 Goals36.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals19.7%

Under 1.5 Goals18.8%

Over 5.5 Goals9.2%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 0 Goals4.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score81.2%

Away Team to Score75.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.8%

Home Clean Sheet24.6%

Home Win to Nil20.0%

Away Clean Sheet18.8%

Away Win to Nil14.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.581.2%

Away Over 0.575.4%

Home Over 1.549.8%

Away Over 1.540.9%

Away Exactly 134.5%

Home Exactly 131.4%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 024.6%

Away Exactly 224.2%

Home Over 2.523.6%

Home 3+ Goals23.6%

Home Exactly 018.8%

Away Over 2.516.7%

Away 3+ Goals16.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)56.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away56.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)44.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home22.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.1%

Home to win by 121.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.7%

Away to win by 117.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.3%

Home to win by 213.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.6%

Home to win by 3+9.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.3%

Away to win by 29.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.3%

Away to win by 3+5.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.550.4%

Home & Over 2.529.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.8%

Home & BTTS24.0%

Away & Over 2.521.2%

Home & No BTTS20.0%

Draw & BTTS19.1%

Away & BTTS18.1%

Draw & Under 2.515.5%

Home & Under 2.514.2%

Away & No BTTS14.1%

Away & Under 2.511.0%

BTTS & Under 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Draw & Over 2.58.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.9%

HT Under 1.559.7%

2nd Half More Goals44.8%

HT Over 1.540.3%

HT Draw38.5%

HT Home Win34.5%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Away Win27.1%

HT/FT Home/Home26.8%

HT Under 0.525.1%

HT Both Teams Score24.8%

Equal Goals Each Half23.7%

HT/FT Away/Away18.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions