Spain · La Liga

Espanyol vs Sevilla

Kick-off 20:00 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Espanyol 47.4% Draw 25.6% Sevilla 27.0%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

77%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Espanyol: 10 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10%

Exact-score model probability

Espanyol

L L W D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

Sevilla

L W W L L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

Espanyol 1wins ·1 draws ·Sevilla 3wins

Espanyol 1-2 SevillaMay 9, 2026

Espanyol 2-1 SevillaNov 24, 2025

Espanyol 1-1 SevillaJan 25, 2025

Espanyol 0-2 SevillaOct 25, 2024

Espanyol 2-3 SevillaMay 4, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Espanyol win47.4%

Draw25.6%

Sevilla win27.0%

Over 1.5 goals73.1%

Over 2.5 goals48.0%

Over 3.5 goals26.3%

Both teams to score63.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

89.9%

Under 5.5 Goals

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.1%

Home or Draw (1X)66.4%

Both Halves Over 0.564.6%

Goal in Both Halves64.6%

Draw or Away (X2)56.5%

Draw No Bet - Home56.5%

Home Win43.5%

Draw No Bet - Away43.5%

Away Win33.6%

Draw22.9%

Exactly 1 Goal12.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.3%

Under 5.5 Goals88.4%

Over 1.5 Goals84.0%

Under 4.5 Goals76.4%

Over 2.5 Goals63.9%

2-4 Goals60.5%

Under 3.5 Goals58.2%

1-3 Goals54.5%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.3%

Over 3.5 Goals41.8%

4+ Goals41.8%

3-4 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals36.1%

1-2 Goals32.4%

Over 4.5 Goals23.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Exactly 2 Goals20.2%

Under 1.5 Goals16.0%

Over 5.5 Goals11.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.7%

Exactly 0 Goals3.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score82.9%

Away Team to Score78.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.1%

Home Clean Sheet21.7%

Home Win to Nil18.0%

Away Clean Sheet17.1%

Away Win to Nil13.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.582.9%

Away Over 0.578.3%

Home Over 1.552.6%

Away Over 1.545.1%

Away Exactly 133.2%

Home Exactly 130.2%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Home Over 2.526.0%

Home 3+ Goals26.0%

Away Exactly 225.3%

Away Exactly 021.7%

Away Over 2.519.8%

Away 3+ Goals19.8%

Home Exactly 017.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)66.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home66.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)56.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away56.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)43.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)33.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.4%

Home to win by 120.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.7%

Away to win by 117.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.1%

Home to win by 213.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.0%

Home to win by 3+10.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.8%

Away to win by 29.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.1%

Away to win by 3+6.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.554.8%

Home & Over 2.531.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.1%

Home & BTTS25.5%

Away & Over 2.523.5%

Away & BTTS20.1%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Home & No BTTS18.0%

Draw & Under 2.513.7%

Away & No BTTS13.4%

Home & Under 2.512.4%

Away & Under 2.510.0%

BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Draw & Over 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.3%

HT Under 1.556.4%

2nd Half More Goals45.5%

HT Over 1.543.6%

HT Draw36.9%

HT Home Win34.7%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Away Win28.4%

HT Both Teams Score27.2%

HT/FT Home/Home26.7%

HT Under 0.522.7%

Equal Goals Each Half22.7%

HT/FT Away/Away19.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions