France · Ligue 1

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans

Kick-off 20:45 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Estac Troyes 22.2% Draw 29.8% Le Mans 48.0%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 78%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Le Mans: 1 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

Estac Troyes

D L L L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 3:15 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2.5

Le Mans

D L L W D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 7:11 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Estac Troyes win22.2%

Draw29.8%

Le Mans win48.0%

Over 1.5 goals64.7%

Over 2.5 goals83.6%

Over 3.5 goals17.5%

Both teams to score78.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

89.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

87.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.6%

Both Halves Over 0.580.4%

Goal in Both Halves80.4%

Draw or Away (X2)77.4%

Draw No Bet - Away73.0%

Away Win60.4%

Home or Draw (1X)39.4%

Draw No Bet - Home27.0%

Home Win22.3%

Draw17.1%

Exactly 1 Goal4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.1%

Over 2.5 Goals83.4%

Under 5.5 Goals69.0%

Over 3.5 Goals67.0%

4+ Goals67.0%

Under 4.5 Goals51.7%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals48.3%

2-4 Goals45.8%

3-4 Goals35.1%

Under 3.5 Goals33.0%

1-3 Goals31.7%

Over 5.5 Goals31.0%

2-3 Goals27.0%

Under 2.5 Goals16.6%

Exactly 3 Goals16.3%

1-2 Goals15.3%

Exactly 2 Goals10.7%

Under 1.5 Goals5.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.9%

Home Team to Score82.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.4%

Away Clean Sheet17.4%

Away Win to Nil16.4%

Home Clean Sheet5.8%

Home Win to Nil4.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.9%

Home Over 0.582.4%

Away Over 1.577.4%

Away Over 2.553.8%

Away 3+ Goals53.8%

Home Over 1.552.0%

Home Exactly 130.4%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Home Over 2.525.5%

Home 3+ Goals25.5%

Away Exactly 223.5%

Home Exactly 017.4%

Away Exactly 116.5%

Away Exactly 05.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home87.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)77.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away77.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home75.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)60.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)58.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home58.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)41.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away41.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)39.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home39.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)24.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away24.3%

Away to win by 3+24.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)22.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.2%

Away to win by 119.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.8%

Away to win by 216.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away12.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.8%

Home to win by 111.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.4%

Home to win by 26.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.2%

Home to win by 3+4.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.572.5%

Away & Over 2.553.4%

Away & BTTS44.0%

Home & Over 2.519.0%

Home & BTTS17.5%

Away & No BTTS16.4%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.3%

Draw & Over 2.511.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.9%

Away & Under 2.57.0%

Draw & Under 2.56.0%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Home & No BTTS4.8%

Home & Under 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.3%

HT Over 1.561.2%

2nd Half More Goals48.8%

HT Away Win48.1%

HT/FT Away/Away40.8%

HT Both Teams Score39.3%

HT Under 1.538.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.0%

HT Home Win22.9%

Equal Goals Each Half18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.9%

HT/FT Home/Home13.1%

HT Under 0.512.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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