France · Ligue 1

Estac Troyes vs Paris FC

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Estac Troyes 29.5% Draw 32.5% Paris FC 38.0%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 49%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 11.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Paris FC: 2 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.8%

Exact-score model probability

Estac Troyes

D L D L L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 4:12 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2

Paris FC

W L W L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 14:6 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Estac Troyes win29.5%

Draw32.5%

Paris FC win38.0%

Over 1.5 goals60.6%

Over 2.5 goals66.1%

Over 3.5 goals14.5%

Both teams to score49.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

92.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

92.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)92.0%

Draw No Bet - Away90.9%

Home or Away (12)86.0%

Away Win78.2%

Both Halves Over 0.566.4%

Goal in Both Halves66.4%

Home or Draw (1X)21.6%

Draw13.8%

Exactly 1 Goal11.3%

Draw No Bet - Home9.1%

Home Win7.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Under 5.5 Goals87.1%

Over 1.5 Goals85.2%

Under 4.5 Goals74.4%

Over 2.5 Goals66.0%

2-4 Goals59.7%

Under 3.5 Goals55.8%

1-3 Goals52.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals44.2%

4+ Goals44.2%

2-3 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals34.0%

1-2 Goals30.5%

Over 4.5 Goals25.6%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals19.2%

Under 1.5 Goals14.8%

Over 5.5 Goals12.9%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.9%

Home Team to Score52.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)51.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)48.4%

Away Clean Sheet47.8%

Away Win to Nil44.5%

Home Clean Sheet6.9%

Home Win to Nil3.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.9%

Away Over 1.574.4%

Home Over 0.552.0%

Away Over 2.549.8%

Away 3+ Goals49.8%

Home Exactly 047.8%

Home Exactly 135.2%

Away Exactly 224.7%

Away Exactly 118.5%

Home Over 1.516.8%

Home Exactly 213.0%

Away Exactly 06.9%

Home Over 2.53.9%

Home 3+ Goals3.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away92.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home81.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)78.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)64.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home64.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)57.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away57.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)42.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home42.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)35.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away35.5%

Away to win by 3+35.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.7%

Away to win by 221.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home21.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.9%

Away to win by 120.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)18.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away18.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.8%

Home to win by 15.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.6%

Home to win by 21.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.4%

Home to win by 3+0.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.557.5%

Away & No BTTS44.5%

BTTS & Over 2.541.9%

Away & BTTS33.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.524.1%

Away & Under 2.520.7%

Draw & BTTS10.5%

Draw & Under 2.59.8%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Home & Over 2.54.5%

Home & BTTS4.2%

Draw & Over 2.54.0%

Home & No BTTS3.6%

Home & Under 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.4%

HT Away Win58.8%

HT/FT Away/Away55.3%

HT Under 1.554.7%

2nd Half More Goals45.9%

HT Over 1.545.3%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Draw31.1%

Equal Goals Each Half22.3%

HT Under 0.521.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.9%

HT Both Teams Score19.7%

HT Home Win10.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.1%

HT/FT Home/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Away/Home0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions