France · Ligue 1

Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

34% confidence

Estac Troyes 33.9% Draw 32.2% Strasbourg 33.8%

Over 2.5 - 67% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

68%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Strasbourg: 6 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Estac Troyes 1 wins, 3 draws, Strasbourg 0 wins in the last 4 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.4%

Exact-score model probability

Estac Troyes

W D D L D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:9 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Strasbourg

W L W W D L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:12 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 4

Estac Troyes 1wins ·3 draws ·Strasbourg 0wins

Estac Troyes 1-1 StrasbourgMay 21, 2023

Estac Troyes 3-2 StrasbourgJan 2, 2023

Estac Troyes 1-1 StrasbourgApr 17, 2022

Estac Troyes 1-1 StrasbourgAug 22, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Estac Troyes win33.9%

Draw32.2%

Strasbourg win33.8%

Over 1.5 goals63.0%

Over 2.5 goals66.9%

Over 3.5 goals16.0%

Both teams to score68.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.5%

Under 5.5 Goals

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.6%

Draw or Away (X2)64.0%

Both Halves Over 0.563.2%

Goal in Both Halves63.2%

Home or Draw (1X)59.4%

Draw No Bet - Away53.0%

Draw No Bet - Home47.0%

Away Win40.6%

Home Win36.0%

Draw23.4%

Exactly 1 Goal13.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.9%

Under 5.5 Goals89.5%

Over 1.5 Goals82.9%

Under 4.5 Goals78.1%

Over 2.5 Goals62.0%

2-4 Goals60.9%

Under 3.5 Goals60.2%

1-3 Goals56.2%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.1%

3-4 Goals40.1%

Over 3.5 Goals39.8%

4+ Goals39.8%

Under 2.5 Goals38.0%

1-2 Goals33.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.9%

Exactly 2 Goals20.9%

Under 1.5 Goals17.1%

Over 5.5 Goals10.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.1%

Exactly 0 Goals4.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score80.9%

Home Team to Score78.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.4%

Away Clean Sheet21.3%

Home Clean Sheet19.1%

Away Win to Nil17.2%

Home Win to Nil15.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.580.9%

Home Over 0.578.7%

Away Over 1.549.2%

Home Over 1.545.8%

Home Exactly 132.9%

Away Exactly 131.6%

Away Exactly 226.2%

Home Exactly 225.5%

Away Over 2.523.1%

Away 3+ Goals23.1%

Home Exactly 021.3%

Home Over 2.520.3%

Home 3+ Goals20.3%

Away Exactly 019.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.9%

Away to win by 119.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.6%

Home to win by 118.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.1%

Away to win by 212.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.6%

Home to win by 210.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.5%

Away to win by 3+8.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.8%

Home to win by 3+6.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.553.2%

Away & Over 2.528.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.5%

Home & Over 2.524.8%

Away & BTTS23.4%

Home & BTTS21.0%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Away & No BTTS17.2%

Home & No BTTS15.1%

Draw & Under 2.514.5%

Away & Under 2.512.3%

Home & Under 2.511.2%

BTTS & Under 2.510.4%

Draw & Over 2.58.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.3%

HT Under 1.557.8%

2nd Half More Goals45.3%

HT Over 1.542.2%

HT Draw37.6%

HT Away Win32.6%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Home Win29.7%

HT Both Teams Score26.3%

HT/FT Away/Away24.6%

HT Under 0.523.7%

Equal Goals Each Half23.1%

HT/FT Home/Home21.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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