England · Premier League

Everton vs Coventry

Kick-off 21:00 · Fri, Nov 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Everton 47.3% Draw 30.8% Coventry 21.9%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Coventry: 8 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Everton

W L L D W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Coventry

W L L W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Everton win47.3%

Draw30.8%

Coventry win21.9%

Over 1.5 goals63.5%

Over 2.5 goals73.3%

Over 3.5 goals16.4%

Both teams to score65.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

85.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

85.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.7%

Home or Away (12)83.1%

Draw No Bet - Home81.8%

Both Halves Over 0.572.0%

Goal in Both Halves72.0%

Home Win68.0%

Draw or Away (X2)31.8%

Draw No Bet - Away18.2%

Draw16.7%

Away Win15.1%

Exactly 1 Goal8.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals89.2%

Under 5.5 Goals81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals73.2%

Under 4.5 Goals66.6%

2-4 Goals55.9%

Over 3.5 Goals52.8%

4+ Goals52.8%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals47.2%

1-3 Goals44.8%

3-4 Goals39.8%

2-3 Goals36.4%

Over 4.5 Goals33.4%

Under 2.5 Goals26.8%

1-2 Goals24.4%

Exactly 3 Goals20.4%

Over 5.5 Goals18.5%

Exactly 2 Goals16.0%

Under 1.5 Goals10.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.6%

Away Team to Score69.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.6%

Home Clean Sheet30.4%

Home Win to Nil28.2%

Away Clean Sheet7.2%

Away Win to Nil5.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.6%

Home Over 1.573.7%

Away Over 0.569.4%

Home Over 2.548.7%

Home 3+ Goals48.7%

Away Exactly 136.2%

Away Over 1.533.2%

Away Exactly 030.4%

Home Exactly 224.9%

Away Exactly 221.5%

Home Exactly 119.0%

Away Over 2.511.8%

Away 3+ Goals11.8%

Home Exactly 07.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.7%

Home to win by 3+27.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.9%

Home to win by 120.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 219.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.5%

Away to win by 19.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.9%

Away to win by 23.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.7%

Away to win by 3+1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.557.5%

Home & Over 2.554.6%

Home & BTTS39.8%

Home & No BTTS28.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.7%

Draw & BTTS14.5%

Home & Under 2.513.4%

Away & Over 2.510.9%

Away & BTTS10.1%

Draw & Under 2.59.1%

Draw & Over 2.57.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.9%

Away & No BTTS5.0%

Away & Under 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.1%

HT Home Win52.0%

HT Over 1.551.2%

HT Under 1.548.8%

2nd Half More Goals47.0%

HT/FT Home/Home46.5%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw31.2%

HT Both Teams Score28.7%

Equal Goals Each Half20.9%

HT Under 0.517.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.6%

HT Away Win16.7%

HT/FT Away/Away8.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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