England · Premier League

Everton vs Crystal Palace

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Everton 43.7% Draw 31.2% Crystal Palace 25.0%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Crystal Palace: 2 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Everton

L L D D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 8:13 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.17

Crystal Palace

W L D L D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 5

Everton 3wins ·2 draws ·Crystal Palace 0wins

Everton 2-2 Crystal PalaceMay 10, 2026

Everton 2-1 Crystal PalaceOct 5, 2025

Everton 2-1 Crystal PalaceFeb 15, 2025

Everton 2-1 Crystal PalaceSep 28, 2024

Everton 1-1 Crystal PalaceFeb 19, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Everton win43.7%

Draw31.2%

Crystal Palace win25.0%

Over 1.5 goals65.8%

Over 2.5 goals94.4%

Over 3.5 goals18.0%

Both teams to score81.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

87.9%

Home or Away (12)

86.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)86.4%

Home or Draw (1X)86.3%

Draw No Bet - Home85.5%

Both Halves Over 0.585.1%

Goal in Both Halves85.1%

Home Win73.9%

Draw or Away (X2)24.9%

Draw No Bet - Away14.5%

Away Win12.5%

Draw12.4%

Exactly 1 Goal2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals95.4%

Over 2.5 Goals87.9%

Over 3.5 Goals74.9%

4+ Goals74.9%

Under 5.5 Goals59.4%

Over 4.5 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 4.5 Goals41.9%

Over 5.5 Goals40.6%

2-4 Goals37.3%

3-4 Goals29.8%

Under 3.5 Goals25.1%

1-3 Goals23.4%

2-3 Goals20.5%

Exactly 3 Goals13.0%

Under 2.5 Goals12.1%

1-2 Goals10.4%

Exactly 2 Goals7.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score78.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.7%

Home Clean Sheet20.4%

Home Win to Nil19.9%

Away Clean Sheet2.7%

Away Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.586.4%

Away Over 0.578.4%

Home Over 2.568.8%

Home 3+ Goals68.8%

Away Over 1.546.2%

Away Exactly 132.2%

Away Exactly 225.4%

Away Over 2.520.8%

Away 3+ Goals20.8%

Away Exactly 020.4%

Home Exactly 217.6%

Home Exactly 19.7%

Home Exactly 02.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away75.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away59.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)57.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home57.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)41.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away41.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)39.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home39.4%

Home to win by 3+39.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)24.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away24.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)23.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home23.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 217.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.3%

Away to win by 17.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.4%

Away to win by 23.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.8%

Away to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.573.1%

Home & Over 2.568.2%

Home & BTTS54.0%

Home & No BTTS19.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.8%

Draw & BTTS11.8%

Away & Over 2.510.9%

Away & BTTS10.4%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.8%

Home & Under 2.55.6%

Draw & Under 2.53.7%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Away & No BTTS2.1%

Away & Under 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.3%

HT Over 1.567.7%

HT Home Win59.4%

HT/FT Home/Home54.2%

2nd Half More Goals50.0%

HT Both Teams Score40.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.532.3%

HT Draw24.5%

Equal Goals Each Half17.6%

HT Away Win16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.6%

HT Under 0.59.7%

HT/FT Away/Away7.1%

HT/FT Away/Home5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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