England · Premier League

Everton vs Ipswich

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Sep 19

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Everton 64.5% Draw 22.6% Ipswich 12.9%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 94%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.6%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Ipswich: 9 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.6%

Exact-score model probability

Everton

D D D W W L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.67

Ipswich

W L L W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 13:11 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 2

Everton 1wins ·1 draws ·Ipswich 0wins

Everton 2-2 IpswichMay 3, 2025

Everton 2-0 IpswichOct 19, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Everton win64.5%

Draw22.6%

Ipswich win12.9%

Over 1.5 goals78.5%

Over 2.5 goals97.9%

Over 3.5 goals31.4%

Both teams to score94.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

90.4%

Both Halves Over 0.5

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.5%

Goal in Both Halves89.5%

Home or Away (12)84.1%

Home or Draw (1X)76.5%

Draw No Bet - Home73.6%

Home Win61.9%

Draw or Away (X2)36.8%

Draw No Bet - Away26.4%

Away Win22.2%

Draw14.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals96.9%

Over 2.5 Goals92.2%

Over 3.5 Goals82.9%

4+ Goals82.9%

Over 4.5 Goals69.2%

Over 5.5 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 5.5 Goals47.1%

Under 4.5 Goals30.8%

2-4 Goals27.7%

3-4 Goals23.0%

Under 3.5 Goals17.1%

1-3 Goals15.6%

2-3 Goals14.0%

Exactly 3 Goals9.3%

Under 2.5 Goals7.8%

1-2 Goals6.3%

Exactly 2 Goals4.7%

Under 1.5 Goals3.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score88.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.6%

Home Clean Sheet9.9%

Home Win to Nil9.7%

Away Clean Sheet2.7%

Away Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 0.588.8%

Home Over 1.586.4%

Home Over 2.568.9%

Home 3+ Goals68.9%

Away Over 1.566.0%

Away Over 2.539.8%

Away 3+ Goals39.8%

Away Exactly 226.2%

Away Exactly 122.8%

Home Exactly 217.5%

Away Exactly 09.9%

Home Exactly 19.7%

Home Exactly 02.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away81.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)45.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home45.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)36.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away36.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home29.4%

Home to win by 3+29.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 215.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.6%

Away to win by 110.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.3%

Away to win by 26.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.3%

Away to win by 3+5.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.584.2%

Home & Over 2.559.2%

Home & BTTS52.2%

Away & Over 2.520.9%

Away & BTTS19.8%

Draw & BTTS14.4%

Draw & Over 2.512.1%

Home & No BTTS9.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.3%

Home & Under 2.52.7%

Draw & Under 2.52.5%

Away & No BTTS2.4%

BTTS & Under 2.52.2%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.0%

HT Over 1.574.5%

HT Both Teams Score51.8%

HT Home Win51.3%

2nd Half More Goals51.2%

HT/FT Home/Home43.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.525.5%

HT Draw24.7%

HT Away Win24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half16.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.4%

HT/FT Away/Away13.4%

HT Under 0.57.0%

HT/FT Away/Home6.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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