England · Premier League

Everton vs Manchester United

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Everton 36.9% Draw 29.1% Manchester United 34.0%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Manchester United: 8 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

Everton

D W W L L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Manchester United

W L W W D W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 14:8 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

Everton 1wins ·1 draws ·Manchester United 3wins

Everton 0-1 Manchester UnitedFeb 23, 2026

Everton 1-0 Manchester UnitedNov 24, 2025

Everton 2-2 Manchester UnitedFeb 22, 2025

Everton 0-4 Manchester UnitedDec 1, 2024

Everton 0-2 Manchester UnitedMar 9, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Everton win36.9%

Draw29.1%

Manchester United win34.0%

Over 1.5 goals73.2%

Over 2.5 goals84.8%

Over 3.5 goals25.1%

Both teams to score81.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.4%

Away Over 0.5

91.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.2%

Draw or Away (X2)78.1%

Both Halves Over 0.573.4%

Goal in Both Halves73.4%

Draw No Bet - Away73.2%

Away Win59.4%

Home or Draw (1X)40.4%

Draw No Bet - Home26.8%

Home Win21.8%

Draw18.7%

Exactly 1 Goal7.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.2%

Under 5.5 Goals79.7%

Over 2.5 Goals75.1%

Under 4.5 Goals64.3%

Over 3.5 Goals55.2%

4+ Goals55.2%

2-4 Goals54.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals44.8%

1-3 Goals42.7%

3-4 Goals39.4%

Over 4.5 Goals35.7%

2-3 Goals35.0%

Under 2.5 Goals24.9%

1-2 Goals22.9%

Over 5.5 Goals20.3%

Exactly 3 Goals19.9%

Exactly 2 Goals15.2%

Under 1.5 Goals9.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score91.4%

Home Team to Score76.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.7%

Away Clean Sheet23.1%

Away Win to Nil21.1%

Home Clean Sheet8.5%

Home Win to Nil6.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.591.4%

Home Over 0.576.8%

Away Over 1.570.5%

Away Over 2.544.7%

Away 3+ Goals44.7%

Home Over 1.543.0%

Home Exactly 133.8%

Away Exactly 225.8%

Home Exactly 224.8%

Home Exactly 023.1%

Away Exactly 120.9%

Home Over 2.518.2%

Home 3+ Goals18.2%

Away Exactly 08.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away90.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)78.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home78.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)61.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home61.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)59.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)40.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home40.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)38.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away38.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away21.4%

Away to win by 3+21.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.8%

Away to win by 120.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.3%

Away to win by 217.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.3%

Home to win by 112.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.1%

Home to win by 26.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.4%

Home to win by 3+3.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.563.2%

Away & Over 2.548.6%

Away & BTTS38.3%

Away & No BTTS21.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.7%

Home & Over 2.516.8%

Draw & BTTS16.7%

Home & BTTS15.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.9%

Away & Under 2.510.8%

Draw & Over 2.59.6%

Draw & Under 2.59.0%

BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Home & No BTTS6.5%

Home & Under 2.55.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.0%

HT Over 1.552.8%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT Under 1.547.2%

HT Away Win46.3%

HT/FT Away/Away39.4%

HT Both Teams Score32.4%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw32.0%

HT Home Win21.7%

Equal Goals Each Half20.5%

HT Under 0.517.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.9%

HT/FT Home/Home12.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions