Netherlands · Eredivisie

Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles

Full time · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Excelsior 34.9% Draw 24.4% GO Ahead Eagles 40.7%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%

✓ Pick was correct (0:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.6%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to GO Ahead Eagles: 1 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Excelsior 1 wins, 1 draws, GO Ahead Eagles 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.6%

Exact-score model probability

Excelsior

L L L L D L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 4:23 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 3.83

GO Ahead Eagles

L W L D D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 9:15 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.5

Head to head · last 5

Excelsior 1wins ·1 draws ·GO Ahead Eagles 3wins

Excelsior 0-1 GO Ahead EaglesMar 1, 2026

Excelsior 0-2 GO Ahead EaglesOct 26, 2025

Excelsior 0-3 GO Ahead EaglesMar 30, 2024

Excelsior 1-1 GO Ahead EaglesDec 16, 2023

Excelsior 2-1 GO Ahead EaglesApr 14, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Excelsior win34.9%

Draw24.4%

GO Ahead Eagles win40.7%

Over 1.5 goals87.0%

Over 2.5 goals98.3%

Over 3.5 goals45.4%

Both teams to score95.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

91.2%

Home Team to Score

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.5%

Goal in Both Halves89.5%

Home or Away (12)83.8%

Draw or Away (X2)75.0%

Draw No Bet - Away71.6%

Away Win60.0%

Home or Draw (1X)38.8%

Draw No Bet - Home28.4%

Home Win23.8%

Draw15.0%

Exactly 1 Goal1.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals97.0%

Over 2.5 Goals92.3%

Over 3.5 Goals83.1%

4+ Goals83.1%

Over 4.5 Goals69.4%

Over 5.5 Goals53.2%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 5.5 Goals46.8%

Under 4.5 Goals30.6%

2-4 Goals27.6%

3-4 Goals22.9%

Under 3.5 Goals16.9%

1-3 Goals15.5%

2-3 Goals13.9%

Exactly 3 Goals9.2%

Under 2.5 Goals7.7%

1-2 Goals6.2%

Exactly 2 Goals4.7%

Under 1.5 Goals3.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.0%

Home Team to Score89.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)87.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.0%

Away Clean Sheet9.3%

Away Win to Nil9.0%

Home Clean Sheet2.8%

Home Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 0.589.5%

Away Over 1.585.9%

Away Over 2.568.0%

Away 3+ Goals68.0%

Home Over 1.567.6%

Home Over 2.541.6%

Home 3+ Goals41.6%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Home Exactly 122.0%

Away Exactly 218.0%

Away Exactly 110.1%

Home Exactly 09.3%

Away Exactly 02.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)83.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home83.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away75.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)71.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home71.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)60.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)55.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home55.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)43.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away43.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)38.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home38.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)27.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away27.8%

Away to win by 3+27.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)23.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.7%

Away to win by 116.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away15.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.5%

Away to win by 215.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.1%

Home to win by 111.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.8%

Home to win by 26.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.9%

Home to win by 3+5.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.584.7%

Away & Over 2.557.4%

Away & BTTS51.0%

Home & Over 2.522.4%

Home & BTTS21.3%

Draw & BTTS14.7%

Draw & Over 2.512.5%

Away & No BTTS9.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.3%

Away & Under 2.52.6%

Home & No BTTS2.6%

Draw & Under 2.52.5%

BTTS & Under 2.52.2%

Home & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.1%

HT Over 1.574.6%

HT Both Teams Score52.3%

2nd Half More Goals51.2%

HT Away Win49.9%

HT/FT Away/Away42.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.525.4%

HT Home Win25.2%

HT Draw24.9%

Equal Goals Each Half16.3%

HT/FT Home/Home14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.1%

HT Under 0.56.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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