Turkey · Süper Lig

Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK

Kick-off 17:00 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

88% confidence

Eyüpspor 88.0% Draw 8.0% Gaziantep FK 4.0%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

88%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 7.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Eyüpspor: 5 points versus 1 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.75 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.6%

Exact-score model probability

Eyüpspor

L D W D

Form 1-2-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.25

Gaziantep FK

D L L L

Form 0-1-3 Goals 3:7 Scored/game 0.75 Conceded/game 1.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

Eyüpspor win88.0%

Draw8.0%

Gaziantep FK win4.0%

Over 1.5 goals96.1%

Over 2.5 goals86.9%

Over 3.5 goals72.4%

Both teams to score60.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

90.6%

HT Over 0.5

89.3%

Home Over 1.5

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home95.4%

Home or Draw (1X)93.6%

Home or Away (12)90.6%

Home Win86.4%

Both Halves Over 0.583.5%

Goal in Both Halves83.5%

Draw or Away (X2)11.4%

Draw7.2%

Draw No Bet - Away4.6%

Away Win4.2%

Exactly 1 Goal3.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals93.6%

Over 2.5 Goals85.0%

Over 3.5 Goals70.8%

4+ Goals70.8%

Under 5.5 Goals64.5%

Over 4.5 Goals53.1%

Total Goals Even49.0%

Total Goals Odd48.8%

Under 4.5 Goals46.9%

2-4 Goals40.5%

Over 5.5 Goals35.5%

3-4 Goals31.9%

Under 3.5 Goals29.2%

1-3 Goals26.3%

2-3 Goals22.9%

Under 2.5 Goals15.0%

Exactly 3 Goals14.2%

1-2 Goals12.1%

Exactly 2 Goals8.6%

Under 1.5 Goals6.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score59.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.6%

Home Clean Sheet38.3%

Home Win to Nil37.6%

Away Clean Sheet1.8%

Away Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.588.8%

Home Over 2.574.3%

Home 3+ Goals74.3%

Away Over 0.559.5%

Away Exactly 038.3%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Over 1.523.6%

Away Exactly 216.8%

Home Exactly 214.5%

Home Exactly 17.2%

Away Over 2.56.8%

Away 3+ Goals6.8%

Home Exactly 01.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home93.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)86.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)86.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away75.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)73.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home73.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away59.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)56.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home56.5%

Home to win by 3+56.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)41.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away41.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)38.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home38.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)24.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away24.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)22.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home22.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 217.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.7%

Home to win by 112.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home11.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away11.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 13.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.9%

Away to win by 20.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.578.0%

BTTS & Over 2.555.8%

Home & BTTS48.9%

Home & No BTTS37.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.529.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Home & Under 2.58.5%

Draw & BTTS6.5%

Draw & Over 2.53.8%

Draw & Under 2.53.3%

Away & Over 2.53.2%

Away & BTTS3.1%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Away & No BTTS1.1%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.3%

HT Home Win71.5%

HT/FT Home/Home69.1%

HT Over 1.565.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.5%

HT Under 1.534.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score28.8%

HT Draw20.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.7%

HT Under 0.510.7%

HT Away Win7.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Away/Away2.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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