Turkey · Süper Lig

Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa

Kick-off 11:30 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

Eyüpspor 40.2% Draw 21.3% Kasımpaşa 38.5%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

80%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Kasımpaşa: 5 points versus 8 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.40 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

Eyüpspor

L L D W D

Form 1-2-2 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 1.2

Kasımpaşa

W D W L D

Form 2-2-1 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.8 Conceded/game 1.2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Eyüpspor win40.2%

Draw21.3%

Kasımpaşa win38.5%

Over 1.5 goals94.0%

Over 2.5 goals81.1%

Over 3.5 goals63.5%

Both teams to score79.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

89.4%

Home Team to Score

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.2%

Both Halves Over 0.578.2%

Goal in Both Halves78.2%

Home or Draw (1X)60.7%

Draw or Away (X2)58.9%

Draw No Bet - Home51.1%

Draw No Bet - Away48.9%

Home Win41.0%

Away Win39.2%

Draw19.7%

Exactly 1 Goal5.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.1%

Over 2.5 Goals81.0%

Under 5.5 Goals72.6%

Over 3.5 Goals63.4%

4+ Goals63.4%

Under 4.5 Goals55.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-4 Goals48.9%

Over 4.5 Goals44.2%

3-4 Goals36.8%

Under 3.5 Goals36.6%

1-3 Goals35.2%

2-3 Goals29.7%

Over 5.5 Goals27.4%

Under 2.5 Goals19.0%

Exactly 3 Goals17.6%

1-2 Goals17.6%

Exactly 2 Goals12.1%

Under 1.5 Goals6.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.9%

Away Team to Score88.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.3%

Home Clean Sheet11.5%

Away Clean Sheet11.0%

Home Win to Nil10.3%

Away Win to Nil9.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.9%

Away Over 0.588.4%

Home Over 1.564.7%

Away Over 1.563.5%

Home Over 2.537.9%

Home 3+ Goals37.9%

Away Over 2.536.6%

Away 3+ Goals36.6%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 124.9%

Home Exactly 124.3%

Away Exactly 011.5%

Home Exactly 011.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.5%

Home to win by 117.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.1%

Away to win by 117.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.1%

Home to win by 212.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.6%

Away to win by 211.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.4%

Home to win by 3+11.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.5%

Away to win by 3+10.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.572.6%

Home & Over 2.535.1%

Away & Over 2.533.5%

Home & BTTS30.7%

Away & BTTS29.5%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.9%

Draw & Over 2.512.4%

Home & No BTTS10.3%

Away & No BTTS9.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.4%

Draw & Under 2.57.3%

BTTS & Under 2.56.0%

Home & Under 2.55.9%

Away & Under 2.55.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.0%

HT Over 1.558.5%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Under 1.541.5%

HT Both Teams Score39.2%

HT Home Win35.0%

HT Away Win33.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw31.2%

HT/FT Home/Home25.7%

HT/FT Away/Away24.4%

Equal Goals Each Half19.4%

HT Under 0.514.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions