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Turkey · Süper Lig

Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor

Kick-off 11:30 · Sat, Nov 7
📊 Our Prediction
Home +5.5 (Handicap)
75% confidence
Eyüpspor 75.1% Draw 18.5% Kocaelispor 6.4%
Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 38%
🎯 Best Pick
Home or Draw (1X)
Double chance from Poisson
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
94%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Under 4.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
86%
Home Win
Strongest 1X2 probability
75%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 15.8%, based on the goal model.
Double chance from Poisson
Recent form leans to Eyüpspor: 5 points versus 4 across the last 5 matches.
Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
2-0
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
15.8%
Exact-score model probability
Eyüpspor
L L D W D
Form 1-2-2 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 1.2
Kocaelispor
W L L L D
Form 1-1-3 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 0.6 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Eyüpspor win75.1%
Draw18.5%
Kocaelispor win6.4%
Over 1.5 goals76.8%
Over 2.5 goals51.5%
Over 3.5 goals29.4%
Both teams to score37.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Home
91.1%
Home Team to Score
89.0%
Home Over 0.5
89.0%
Match Result (11)
Home or Draw (1X)92.6%
Draw No Bet - Home91.1%
Home or Away (12)83.4%
Home Win76.0%
Both Halves Over 0.555.1%
Goal in Both Halves55.1%
Draw or Away (X2)23.9%
Exactly 1 Goal17.7%
Draw16.6%
Draw No Bet - Away8.9%
Away Win7.4%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Under 5.5 Goals94.1%
Over 0.5 Goals93.5%
Under 4.5 Goals85.8%
Over 1.5 Goals75.7%
Under 3.5 Goals70.7%
1-3 Goals64.1%
2-4 Goals61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals51.5%
Total Goals Even50.2%
Total Goals Odd49.8%
Under 2.5 Goals48.5%
2-3 Goals46.4%
1-2 Goals42.0%
3-4 Goals37.3%
Over 3.5 Goals29.3%
4+ Goals29.3%
Under 1.5 Goals24.3%
Exactly 2 Goals24.3%
Exactly 3 Goals22.1%
Over 4.5 Goals14.2%
Under 0.5 Goals6.5%
Exactly 0 Goals6.5%
Over 5.5 Goals5.9%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score89.0%
No Both Teams Score (NG)63.5%
Home Clean Sheet58.9%
Home Win to Nil52.5%
Away Team to Score41.0%
Both Teams Score (GG)36.5%
Away Clean Sheet11.0%
Away Win to Nil4.5%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.589.0%
Home Over 1.564.7%
Away Exactly 058.9%
Away Over 0.541.0%
Home Over 2.537.9%
Home 3+ Goals37.9%
Away Exactly 131.1%
Home Exactly 226.8%
Home Exactly 124.3%
Home Exactly 011.0%
Away Over 1.59.9%
Away Exactly 28.2%
Away Over 2.51.7%
Away 3+ Goals1.7%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.7%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.4%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.8%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.8%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.6%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.7%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.7%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)76.0%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.3%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.3%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)51.6%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home51.6%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.4%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.6%
Home to win by 3+28.6%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.4%
Home to win by 124.4%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)23.9%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away23.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.9%
Home to win by 222.9%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.4%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.2%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.2%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.1%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.4%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.8%
Away to win by 15.8%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.4%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.7%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.6%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.3%
Away to win by 21.3%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%
Away to win by 3+0.2%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%
Combos (15)
Home & No BTTS52.5%
Home & Over 2.545.9%
No BTTS & Under 2.540.9%
Home & Under 2.530.1%
BTTS & Over 2.528.9%
Home & BTTS23.5%
No BTTS & Over 2.522.5%
Draw & Under 2.514.0%
Draw & BTTS10.1%
BTTS & Under 2.57.6%
Away & No BTTS4.5%
Away & Under 2.54.3%
Away & Over 2.53.1%
Away & BTTS2.9%
Draw & Over 2.52.5%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.570.8%
HT Under 1.565.1%
HT Home Win54.7%
HT/FT Home/Home51.7%
2nd Half More Goals43.6%
HT Draw36.5%
HT Over 1.534.9%
1st Half More Goals31.1%
HT Under 0.529.2%
Equal Goals Each Half25.3%
HT/FT Draw/Home22.1%
HT Both Teams Score13.3%
HT/FT Draw/Draw11.2%
HT Away Win8.8%
HT/FT Away/Away3.8%
HT/FT Draw/Away3.2%
HT/FT Away/Draw2.7%
HT/FT Home/Draw2.7%
HT/FT Away/Home2.3%
HT/FT Home/Away0.4%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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