Russia · Premier League

Fakel vs Baltika

Kick-off 12:00 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

67% confidence

Fakel 11.5% Draw 21.7% Baltika 66.8%

Over 2.5 - 55% BTTS - 49%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

84%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 12.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Baltika: 1 points versus 9 across the last 4 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.4%

Exact-score model probability

Fakel

L D L L

Form 0-1-3 Goals 3:6 Scored/game 0.75 Conceded/game 1.5

Baltika

W L W W L L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fakel win11.5%

Draw21.7%

Baltika win66.8%

Over 1.5 goals79.3%

Over 2.5 goals54.8%

Over 3.5 goals32.5%

Both teams to score48.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

90.0%

Away Team to Score

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)87.3%

Draw No Bet - Away84.3%

Home or Away (12)80.7%

Away Win68.0%

Both Halves Over 0.557.7%

Goal in Both Halves57.7%

Home or Draw (1X)32.0%

Draw19.3%

Exactly 1 Goal16.2%

Draw No Bet - Home15.7%

Home Win12.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.3%

Under 5.5 Goals92.8%

Under 4.5 Goals83.6%

Over 1.5 Goals78.1%

Under 3.5 Goals67.5%

1-3 Goals61.9%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals54.8%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.7%

Under 2.5 Goals45.2%

1-2 Goals39.5%

3-4 Goals38.4%

Over 3.5 Goals32.5%

4+ Goals32.5%

Exactly 2 Goals23.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Under 1.5 Goals21.9%

Over 4.5 Goals16.4%

Over 5.5 Goals7.2%

Under 0.5 Goals5.7%

Exactly 0 Goals5.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score87.7%

Home Team to Score54.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.3%

Away Clean Sheet46.0%

Away Win to Nil40.4%

Home Clean Sheet12.2%

Home Win to Nil6.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.587.7%

Away Over 1.562.0%

Home Over 0.554.0%

Home Exactly 046.0%

Home Exactly 135.7%

Away Over 2.535.0%

Away 3+ Goals35.0%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 125.7%

Home Over 1.518.3%

Home Exactly 213.9%

Away Exactly 012.2%

Home Over 2.54.4%

Home 3+ Goals4.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away87.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)77.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home77.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)68.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)56.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home56.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)43.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away43.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home32.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw24.5%

Away to win by 124.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.8%

Away to win by 3+22.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.7%

Away to win by 220.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)12.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.0%

Home to win by 19.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.8%

Home to win by 22.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.8%

Home to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.543.7%

Away & No BTTS40.4%

BTTS & Over 2.538.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.536.0%

Away & BTTS27.6%

Away & Under 2.524.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.6%

Draw & Under 2.514.8%

Draw & BTTS13.7%

BTTS & Under 2.59.2%

Home & Over 2.56.6%

Home & No BTTS6.6%

Home & Under 2.56.1%

Home & BTTS6.1%

Draw & Over 2.54.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.572.6%

HT Under 1.562.9%

HT Away Win49.4%

HT/FT Away/Away44.9%

2nd Half More Goals44.1%

HT Draw37.2%

HT Over 1.537.1%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT Under 0.527.4%

Equal Goals Each Half24.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away20.2%

HT Both Teams Score18.0%

HT Home Win13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.9%

HT/FT Home/Home6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

HT/FT Away/Home0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions