Russia · Premier League

Fakel vs Dynamo

Kick-off 12:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Fakel 40.7% Draw 31.5% Dynamo 27.8%

Over 2.5 - 40% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Dynamo: 4 points versus 10 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.1%

Exact-score model probability

Fakel

W L D L L

Form 1-1-3 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 1.2

Dynamo

L W L D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fakel win40.7%

Draw31.5%

Dynamo win27.8%

Over 1.5 goals68.5%

Over 2.5 goals40.3%

Over 3.5 goals20.0%

Both teams to score47.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.7%

Over 0.5 Goals

89.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)71.9%

Home or Draw (1X)70.5%

Draw No Bet - Home58.9%

Draw or Away (X2)57.6%

Both Halves Over 0.546.2%

Goal in Both Halves46.2%

Home Win42.4%

Draw No Bet - Away41.1%

Away Win29.5%

Draw28.1%

Exactly 1 Goal23.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.0%

Under 4.5 Goals91.7%

Over 0.5 Goals89.9%

Under 3.5 Goals80.0%

1-3 Goals70.0%

Over 1.5 Goals66.8%

Under 2.5 Goals59.7%

2-4 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Even50.5%

1-2 Goals49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

2-3 Goals46.8%

Over 2.5 Goals40.3%

Under 1.5 Goals33.2%

3-4 Goals31.9%

Exactly 2 Goals26.5%

Exactly 3 Goals20.3%

Over 3.5 Goals20.0%

4+ Goals20.0%

Under 0.5 Goals10.1%

Exactly 0 Goals10.1%

Over 4.5 Goals8.3%

Over 5.5 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score72.1%

Away Team to Score63.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)54.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.0%

Home Clean Sheet36.2%

Away Clean Sheet27.9%

Home Win to Nil26.1%

Away Win to Nil17.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.572.1%

Away Over 0.563.8%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Home Over 1.536.5%

Away Exactly 036.2%

Home Exactly 135.6%

Home Exactly 027.9%

Away Over 1.527.0%

Home Exactly 222.8%

Away Exactly 218.7%

Home Over 2.513.8%

Home 3+ Goals13.8%

Away Over 2.58.3%

Away 3+ Goals8.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)70.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home70.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)29.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.3%

Home to win by 123.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.5%

Away to win by 118.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.4%

Home to win by 212.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.9%

Away to win by 27.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.7%

Home to win by 3+6.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.1%

Away to win by 3+3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.546.6%

BTTS & Over 2.533.0%

Home & No BTTS26.1%

Draw & Under 2.523.2%

Home & Over 2.521.3%

Home & Under 2.521.1%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

Away & No BTTS17.8%

Home & BTTS16.3%

Away & Under 2.515.5%

Away & Over 2.514.1%

BTTS & Under 2.513.1%

Away & BTTS11.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.3%

Draw & Over 2.54.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.572.4%

HT Over 0.564.4%

HT Draw45.6%

2nd Half More Goals41.6%

HT Under 0.535.6%

HT Home Win31.1%

1st Half More Goals30.3%

Equal Goals Each Half28.2%

HT Over 1.527.6%

HT/FT Home/Home24.8%

HT Away Win23.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.5%

HT/FT Away/Away16.5%

HT Both Teams Score16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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