Russia · Premier League

Fakel vs Zenit

Kick-off 13:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

96% confidence

Fakel 0.6% Draw 3.5% Zenit 95.9%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 28%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

Away Clean Sheet

Poisson P(home scores 0)

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-4 at 14%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Zenit: 1 points versus 15 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.25 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +1.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14%

Exact-score model probability

Fakel

L D L L

Form 0-1-3 Goals 3:6 Scored/game 0.75 Conceded/game 1.5

Zenit

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 15:3 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fakel win0.6%

Draw3.5%

Zenit win95.9%

Over 1.5 goals94.2%

Over 2.5 goals82.9%

Over 3.5 goals65.9%

Both teams to score27.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.3%

Under 5.5 Cards

89.8%

Away Over 1.5

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away99.2%

Draw or Away (X2)96.3%

Home or Away (12)94.0%

Away Win93.3%

Both Halves Over 0.580.1%

Goal in Both Halves80.1%

Exactly 1 Goal4.7%

Home or Draw (1X)3.8%

Draw3.1%

Draw No Bet - Home0.8%

Home Win0.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.0%

Over 1.5 Goals91.3%

Over 2.5 Goals80.5%

Under 5.5 Goals72.0%

Over 3.5 Goals64.0%

4+ Goals64.0%

Under 4.5 Goals54.8%

Total Goals Even48.8%

Total Goals Odd48.2%

2-4 Goals46.1%

Over 4.5 Goals45.2%

Under 3.5 Goals36.0%

3-4 Goals35.3%

1-3 Goals32.0%

Over 5.5 Goals28.0%

2-3 Goals27.3%

Under 2.5 Goals19.5%

Exactly 3 Goals16.5%

1-2 Goals15.5%

Exactly 2 Goals10.8%

Under 1.5 Goals8.7%

Under 0.5 Goals4.0%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)73.3%

Away Clean Sheet70.0%

Away Win to Nil68.9%

Home Team to Score27.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)26.7%

Home Clean Sheet1.4%

Home Win to Nil0.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.6%

Away Over 1.589.5%

Away Over 2.576.6%

Away 3+ Goals76.6%

Home Exactly 070.0%

Home Over 0.527.1%

Home Exactly 122.9%

Away Exactly 212.9%

Away Exactly 16.1%

Home Over 1.54.2%

Home Exactly 23.7%

Away Exactly 01.4%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away96.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)93.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away85.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)78.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)70.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away70.6%

Away to win by 3+70.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)63.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home63.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)52.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away52.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)44.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home44.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)33.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away33.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)26.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home26.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away18.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw18.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw18.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw14.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.5%

Away to win by 214.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home12.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.2%

Away to win by 18.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home3.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw0.6%

Home to win by 10.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 20.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.579.5%

Away & No BTTS68.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.555.2%

BTTS & Over 2.525.2%

Away & BTTS24.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.1%

Away & Under 2.513.7%

Draw & Under 2.52.5%

Draw & BTTS2.0%

BTTS & Under 2.51.4%

Draw & Over 2.50.6%

Home & Under 2.50.4%

Home & No BTTS0.4%

Home & Over 2.50.3%

Home & BTTS0.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.2%

HT Away Win81.0%

HT/FT Away/Away80.4%

HT Over 1.560.9%

2nd Half More Goals48.7%

HT Under 1.539.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

Equal Goals Each Half18.9%

HT Draw16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.3%

HT Under 0.512.8%

HT Both Teams Score11.7%

HT Home Win2.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.5%

HT/FT Home/Home0.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.3%

HT/FT Away/Home0.0%

Corners (12)

Home Over 4.5 Corners77.6%

Over 8.5 Corners75.3%

Home Most Corners69.4%

Over 9.5 Corners64.1%

Under 11.5 Corners59.9%

Over 10.5 Corners52.0%

Under 10.5 Corners48.0%

Away Over 4.5 Corners43.6%

Over 11.5 Corners40.1%

Under 9.5 Corners35.9%

Under 8.5 Corners24.7%

Away Most Corners20.7%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards89.8%

Under 4.5 Cards78.7%

Over 2.5 Cards61.3%

Under 3.5 Cards61.0%

Over 3.5 Cards39.0%

Under 2.5 Cards38.7%

Over 4.5 Cards21.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards12.7%

Over 5.5 Cards10.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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