Scotland · Premiership

Falkirk vs Celtic

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

Falkirk 15.9% Draw 19.6% Celtic 64.4%

Over 2.5 - 60% BTTS - 88%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Celtic: 1 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Falkirk

L D L L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 4:15 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.5

Celtic

L W W L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 4

Falkirk 0wins ·0 draws ·Celtic 4wins

Falkirk 1-3 CelticApr 25, 2026

Falkirk 0-2 CelticFeb 1, 2026

Falkirk 0-1 CelticJan 14, 2026

Falkirk 0-4 CelticOct 29, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Falkirk win15.9%

Draw19.6%

Celtic win64.4%

Over 1.5 goals81.7%

Over 2.5 goals60.2%

Over 3.5 goals37.8%

Both teams to score87.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

HT Over 0.5

90.8%

Draw No Bet - Away

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away88.2%

Draw or Away (X2)88.1%

Home or Away (12)87.3%

Both Halves Over 0.585.8%

Goal in Both Halves85.8%

Away Win77.0%

Home or Draw (1X)21.4%

Draw No Bet - Home11.8%

Draw11.1%

Home Win10.3%

Exactly 1 Goal2.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals88.2%

Over 3.5 Goals75.8%

4+ Goals75.8%

Over 4.5 Goals59.3%

Under 5.5 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Over 5.5 Goals41.9%

Under 4.5 Goals40.7%

2-4 Goals35.9%

3-4 Goals28.9%

Under 3.5 Goals24.2%

1-3 Goals22.1%

2-3 Goals19.5%

Exactly 3 Goals12.4%

Under 2.5 Goals11.8%

1-2 Goals9.7%

Exactly 2 Goals7.0%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.2%

Home Team to Score76.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.4%

Away Clean Sheet22.1%

Away Win to Nil21.6%

Home Clean Sheet2.2%

Home Win to Nil1.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.2%

Away Over 1.587.7%

Home Over 0.576.3%

Away Over 2.571.5%

Away 3+ Goals71.5%

Home Over 1.543.3%

Home Exactly 133.0%

Home Exactly 224.6%

Home Exactly 022.1%

Home Over 2.518.6%

Home 3+ Goals18.6%

Away Exactly 216.2%

Away Exactly 18.5%

Away Exactly 02.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)91.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away88.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home83.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)77.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)71.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home71.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)61.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away61.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)54.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home54.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)43.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away43.6%

Away to win by 3+43.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)37.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home37.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)27.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away27.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home21.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.7%

Away to win by 217.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.7%

Away to win by 115.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)14.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away14.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw12.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw8.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away6.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw6.2%

Home to win by 16.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.7%

Home to win by 22.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.4%

Home to win by 3+1.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.571.7%

Away & Over 2.571.5%

Away & BTTS55.4%

Away & No BTTS21.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.5%

Draw & BTTS10.6%

Home & Over 2.59.0%

Home & BTTS8.5%

Draw & Over 2.57.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.4%

Away & Under 2.55.5%

Draw & Under 2.53.4%

BTTS & Under 2.52.9%

Home & No BTTS1.7%

Home & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.8%

HT Over 1.568.8%

HT Away Win62.4%

HT/FT Away/Away57.8%

2nd Half More Goals50.2%

HT Both Teams Score40.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.2%

HT Draw23.3%

Equal Goals Each Half17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.6%

HT Home Win14.3%

HT Under 0.59.2%

HT/FT Home/Home5.8%

HT/FT Home/Away5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.2%

HT/FT Away/Home1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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