Scotland · Premiership

Falkirk vs Dundee

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Falkirk 49.7% Draw 23.8% Dundee 26.5%

Over 2.5 - 55% BTTS - 89%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

78%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7.3%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Dundee: 1 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Falkirk 2 wins, 0 draws, Dundee 1 wins in the last 3 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.3%

Exact-score model probability

Falkirk

L D L L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 4:15 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.5

Dundee

D L W L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 3

Falkirk 2wins ·0 draws ·Dundee 1wins

Falkirk 1-0 DundeeFeb 11, 2026

Falkirk 0-1 DundeeDec 27, 2025

Falkirk 2-1 DundeeOct 25, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Falkirk win49.7%

Draw23.8%

Dundee win26.5%

Over 1.5 goals78.4%

Over 2.5 goals55.2%

Over 3.5 goals32.9%

Both teams to score88.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.5%

Home Team to Score

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.9%

Both Halves Over 0.577.1%

Goal in Both Halves77.1%

Home or Draw (1X)62.6%

Draw or Away (X2)57.3%

Draw No Bet - Home53.3%

Draw No Bet - Away46.7%

Home Win42.6%

Away Win37.3%

Draw20.0%

Exactly 1 Goal6.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals92.5%

Over 2.5 Goals79.6%

Under 5.5 Goals74.5%

Over 3.5 Goals61.4%

4+ Goals61.4%

Under 4.5 Goals58.0%

2-4 Goals50.5%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Over 4.5 Goals42.0%

Under 3.5 Goals38.6%

3-4 Goals37.6%

1-3 Goals37.1%

2-3 Goals31.1%

Over 5.5 Goals25.5%

Under 2.5 Goals20.4%

1-2 Goals18.9%

Exactly 3 Goals18.2%

Exactly 2 Goals12.8%

Under 1.5 Goals7.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.8%

Away Team to Score87.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.5%

Home Clean Sheet12.8%

Home Win to Nil11.4%

Away Clean Sheet11.1%

Away Win to Nil9.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.8%

Away Over 0.587.1%

Home Over 1.564.4%

Away Over 1.560.9%

Home Over 2.537.6%

Home 3+ Goals37.6%

Away Over 2.533.8%

Away 3+ Goals33.8%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 126.3%

Home Exactly 124.4%

Away Exactly 012.8%

Home Exactly 011.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 118.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.9%

Away to win by 116.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.6%

Home to win by 212.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.0%

Home to win by 3+12.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.0%

Away to win by 211.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.5%

Away to win by 3+9.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.571.0%

Home & Over 2.536.1%

Away & Over 2.531.4%

Home & BTTS31.2%

Away & BTTS27.7%

Draw & BTTS18.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.9%

Draw & Over 2.512.1%

Home & No BTTS11.4%

Away & No BTTS9.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

Draw & Under 2.57.8%

Home & Under 2.56.5%

BTTS & Under 2.56.4%

Away & Under 2.55.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.3%

HT Over 1.557.0%

2nd Half More Goals48.1%

HT Under 1.543.0%

HT Both Teams Score37.9%

HT Home Win35.9%

HT Away Win32.5%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.7%

HT/FT Home/Home26.8%

HT/FT Away/Away23.0%

Equal Goals Each Half19.6%

HT Under 0.514.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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