Scotland · Premiership

Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Sep 15

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Falkirk 24.1% Draw 25.1% Heart Of Midlothian 50.7%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 95%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.8%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Heart Of Midlothian: 1 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.8%

Exact-score model probability

Falkirk

L D L L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 4:15 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.5

Heart Of Midlothian

W D D D W L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 4

Falkirk 0wins ·0 draws ·Heart Of Midlothian 4wins

Falkirk 0-3 Heart Of MidlothianMay 13, 2026

Falkirk 0-1 Heart Of MidlothianFeb 21, 2026

Falkirk 0-2 Heart Of MidlothianDec 13, 2025

Falkirk 0-3 Heart Of MidlothianSep 27, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Falkirk win24.1%

Draw25.1%

Heart Of Midlothian win50.7%

Over 1.5 goals74.4%

Over 2.5 goals49.4%

Over 3.5 goals27.5%

Both teams to score95.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.9%

Over 2.5 Goals

91.1%

Home Team to Score

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.6%

Goal in Both Halves87.6%

Home or Away (12)82.6%

Draw or Away (X2)68.0%

Draw No Bet - Away61.9%

Away Win51.2%

Home or Draw (1X)48.2%

Draw No Bet - Home38.1%

Home Win31.5%

Draw16.8%

Exactly 1 Goal2.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.9%

Over 2.5 Goals91.1%

Over 3.5 Goals80.2%

4+ Goals80.2%

Over 4.5 Goals65.0%

Under 5.5 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 5.5 Goals47.9%

Under 4.5 Goals35.0%

2-4 Goals32.0%

3-4 Goals26.1%

Under 3.5 Goals19.8%

1-3 Goals18.9%

2-3 Goals16.8%

Exactly 3 Goals10.9%

Under 2.5 Goals8.9%

1-2 Goals8.0%

Exactly 2 Goals5.9%

Under 1.5 Goals3.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score91.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)87.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.0%

Away Clean Sheet8.3%

Away Win to Nil7.9%

Home Clean Sheet4.5%

Home Win to Nil4.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 0.591.1%

Away Over 1.581.0%

Home Over 1.570.5%

Away Over 2.559.3%

Away 3+ Goals59.3%

Home Over 2.544.9%

Home 3+ Goals44.9%

Home Exactly 225.6%

Away Exactly 221.6%

Home Exactly 120.6%

Away Exactly 114.0%

Home Exactly 08.3%

Away Exactly 04.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)68.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away68.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)65.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home65.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)51.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)48.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home48.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)34.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away34.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)31.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.1%

Away to win by 3+20.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 117.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.1%

Away to win by 214.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.6%

Home to win by 113.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.1%

Home to win by 29.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.8%

Home to win by 3+8.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.584.1%

Away & Over 2.548.2%

Away & BTTS43.3%

Home & Over 2.529.4%

Home & BTTS27.3%

Draw & BTTS16.4%

Draw & Over 2.513.5%

Away & No BTTS7.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Home & No BTTS4.1%

Draw & Under 2.53.3%

Away & Under 2.53.0%

BTTS & Under 2.52.9%

Home & Under 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.9%

HT Over 1.571.5%

2nd Half More Goals50.7%

HT Both Teams Score50.6%

HT Away Win43.3%

HT/FT Away/Away34.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win30.1%

HT Under 1.528.5%

HT Draw26.6%

HT/FT Home/Home19.5%

Equal Goals Each Half16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.2%

HT Under 0.58.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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