Portugal · Primeira Liga

Famalicao vs GIL Vicente

Kick-off 20:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Famalicao 46.7% Draw 28.2% GIL Vicente 25.1%

Over 2.5 - 34% BTTS - 50%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to GIL Vicente: 6 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Famalicao 2 wins, 2 draws, GIL Vicente 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.6%

Exact-score model probability

Famalicao

L L D W D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1

GIL Vicente

W W L L D W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Famalicao 2wins ·2 draws ·GIL Vicente 1wins

Famalicao 0-5 GIL VicenteFeb 1, 2026

Famalicao 0-0 GIL VicenteAug 24, 2025

Famalicao 2-0 GIL VicenteFeb 17, 2025

Famalicao 1-1 GIL VicenteSep 14, 2024

Famalicao 2-1 GIL VicenteMar 29, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Famalicao win46.7%

Draw28.2%

GIL Vicente win25.1%

Over 1.5 goals59.9%

Over 2.5 goals33.5%

Over 3.5 goals15.1%

Both teams to score50.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)76.8%

Home or Away (12)75.7%

Draw No Bet - Home69.3%

Both Halves Over 0.554.3%

Goal in Both Halves54.3%

Home Win52.4%

Draw or Away (X2)47.6%

Draw No Bet - Away30.7%

Draw24.3%

Away Win23.2%

Exactly 1 Goal18.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.4%

Over 0.5 Goals93.2%

Under 4.5 Goals86.4%

Over 1.5 Goals75.0%

Under 3.5 Goals71.5%

1-3 Goals64.8%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals50.5%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals49.5%

2-3 Goals46.6%

1-2 Goals42.7%

3-4 Goals36.9%

Over 3.5 Goals28.5%

4+ Goals28.5%

Under 1.5 Goals25.0%

Exactly 2 Goals24.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Over 4.5 Goals13.6%

Under 0.5 Goals6.8%

Exactly 0 Goals6.8%

Over 5.5 Goals5.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score81.2%

Away Team to Score64.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.0%

Home Clean Sheet35.9%

Home Win to Nil29.1%

Away Clean Sheet18.8%

Away Win to Nil12.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.581.2%

Away Over 0.564.1%

Home Over 1.549.7%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Away Exactly 035.9%

Home Exactly 131.4%

Away Over 1.527.3%

Home Exactly 226.2%

Home Over 2.523.5%

Home 3+ Goals23.5%

Home Exactly 018.8%

Away Exactly 218.8%

Away Over 2.58.5%

Away 3+ Goals8.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)71.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away71.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.1%

Home to win by 124.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.1%

Home to win by 216.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.8%

Away to win by 114.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.2%

Home to win by 3+12.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.1%

Away to win by 26.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.4%

Away to win by 3+2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.540.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.9%

Home & Over 2.531.7%

Home & No BTTS29.1%

Home & BTTS23.3%

Home & Under 2.520.7%

Draw & Under 2.518.3%

Draw & BTTS17.6%

Away & Over 2.512.8%

Away & No BTTS12.1%

BTTS & Under 2.511.6%

Away & BTTS11.2%

Away & Under 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.0%

Draw & Over 2.56.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.2%

HT Under 1.565.8%

2nd Half More Goals43.4%

HT Draw41.0%

HT Home Win38.6%

HT Over 1.534.2%

HT/FT Home/Home32.4%

1st Half More Goals31.0%

HT Under 0.529.8%

Equal Goals Each Half25.6%

HT Away Win20.4%

HT Both Teams Score19.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.8%

HT/FT Away/Away12.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions