Portugal · Primeira Liga

Famalicao vs Sporting CP

Kick-off 20:30 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Famalicao 18.5% Draw 22.1% Sporting CP 59.4%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

73%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

66%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 10.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Sporting CP: 6 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.2%

Exact-score model probability

Famalicao

D D L L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1

Sporting CP

W W W W W D

Form 5-1-0 Goals 17:6 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Famalicao 0wins ·0 draws ·Sporting CP 5wins

Famalicao 0-1 Sporting CPFeb 15, 2026

Famalicao 1-2 Sporting CPSep 13, 2025

Famalicao 1-3 Sporting CPMar 15, 2025

Famalicao 0-3 Sporting CPOct 26, 2024

Famalicao 0-1 Sporting CPApr 16, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Famalicao win18.5%

Draw22.1%

Sporting CP win59.4%

Over 1.5 goals72.8%

Over 2.5 goals48.4%

Over 3.5 goals26.6%

Both teams to score66.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

91.3%

Draw or Away (X2)

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)90.6%

Draw No Bet - Away89.3%

Home or Away (12)85.7%

Away Win76.6%

Both Halves Over 0.569.3%

Goal in Both Halves69.3%

Home or Draw (1X)23.2%

Draw14.1%

Draw No Bet - Home10.7%

Exactly 1 Goal9.8%

Home Win9.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals87.3%

Under 5.5 Goals84.5%

Under 4.5 Goals70.6%

Over 2.5 Goals69.7%

2-4 Goals58.0%

Under 3.5 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

1-3 Goals48.6%

Over 3.5 Goals48.5%

4+ Goals48.5%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals38.8%

Under 2.5 Goals30.3%

Over 4.5 Goals29.4%

1-2 Goals27.4%

Exactly 3 Goals21.2%

Exactly 2 Goals17.6%

Over 5.5 Goals15.5%

Under 1.5 Goals12.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals2.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.4%

Home Team to Score57.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)46.0%

Away Clean Sheet42.1%

Away Win to Nil39.4%

Home Clean Sheet6.4%

Home Win to Nil3.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.4%

Away Over 1.575.8%

Home Over 0.557.7%

Away Over 2.551.6%

Away 3+ Goals51.6%

Home Exactly 042.1%

Home Exactly 136.3%

Away Exactly 224.2%

Home Over 1.521.4%

Away Exactly 117.6%

Home Exactly 215.7%

Away Exactly 06.4%

Home Over 2.55.7%

Home 3+ Goals5.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away90.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home81.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)76.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)64.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home64.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)56.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away56.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)43.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home43.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)35.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away35.0%

Away to win by 3+35.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)23.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home23.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.1%

Away to win by 221.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.5%

Away to win by 120.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away18.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)9.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw6.4%

Home to win by 16.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.1%

Home to win by 22.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.6%

Home to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.558.9%

BTTS & Over 2.547.6%

Away & No BTTS39.4%

Away & BTTS37.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.522.1%

Away & Under 2.517.6%

Draw & BTTS11.4%

Draw & Under 2.59.1%

BTTS & Under 2.56.4%

Home & Over 2.55.8%

Home & BTTS5.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.0%

Home & No BTTS3.7%

Home & Under 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.3%

HT Away Win58.0%

HT/FT Away/Away54.1%

HT Under 1.551.7%

HT Over 1.548.3%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw30.3%

HT Both Teams Score22.9%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Under 0.519.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.1%

HT Home Win11.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.7%

HT/FT Home/Home4.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Away/Home0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions