Germany · Bundesliga

FC Augsburg vs Bayern München

Kick-off 14:30 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

75% confidence

FC Augsburg 10.2% Draw 14.9% Bayern München 74.5%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

90%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Bayern München: 10 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 6.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

FC Augsburg

L D W W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 14:11 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Bayern München

W W W D W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 24:3 Scored/game 4 Conceded/game 0.5

Head to head · last 4

FC Augsburg 1wins ·0 draws ·Bayern München 3wins

FC Augsburg 2-1 Bayern MünchenJan 24, 2026

FC Augsburg 2-3 Bayern MünchenAug 30, 2025

FC Augsburg 1-3 Bayern MünchenApr 4, 2025

FC Augsburg 0-3 Bayern MünchenNov 22, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Augsburg win10.2%

Draw14.9%

Bayern München win74.5%

Over 1.5 goals90.6%

Over 2.5 goals94.6%

Over 3.5 goals55.4%

Both teams to score90.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.0%

Over 2.5 Goals

89.5%

Home Team to Score

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.1%

Goal in Both Halves86.1%

Home or Away (12)83.2%

Draw or Away (X2)74.6%

Draw No Bet - Away70.2%

Away Win58.5%

Home or Draw (1X)40.9%

Draw No Bet - Home29.8%

Home Win24.8%

Draw16.2%

Exactly 1 Goal2.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals96.4%

Over 2.5 Goals89.5%

Over 3.5 Goals77.3%

4+ Goals77.3%

Over 4.5 Goals61.1%

Under 5.5 Goals56.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 5.5 Goals43.7%

Under 4.5 Goals38.9%

2-4 Goals35.3%

3-4 Goals28.4%

Under 3.5 Goals22.7%

1-3 Goals21.6%

2-3 Goals19.0%

Exactly 3 Goals12.2%

Under 2.5 Goals10.5%

1-2 Goals9.4%

Exactly 2 Goals6.8%

Under 1.5 Goals3.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.3%

Home Team to Score87.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.8%

Away Clean Sheet11.6%

Away Win to Nil11.1%

Home Clean Sheet4.1%

Home Win to Nil3.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.3%

Home Over 0.587.8%

Away Over 1.582.2%

Home Over 1.562.9%

Away Over 2.561.3%

Away 3+ Goals61.3%

Home Over 2.536.1%

Home 3+ Goals36.1%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 124.9%

Away Exactly 220.9%

Away Exactly 113.1%

Home Exactly 011.6%

Away Exactly 04.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home86.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)74.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away74.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)74.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home74.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)58.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home58.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)58.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)40.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home40.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)40.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away40.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.0%

Away to win by 3+25.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)24.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.7%

Away to win by 117.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.8%

Away to win by 215.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away13.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.9%

Home to win by 111.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.1%

Home to win by 27.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.7%

Home to win by 3+5.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.9%

Away & Over 2.554.5%

Away & BTTS47.3%

Home & Over 2.522.6%

Home & BTTS21.2%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

Draw & Over 2.512.4%

Away & No BTTS11.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.6%

Away & Under 2.54.0%

Draw & Under 2.53.8%

Home & No BTTS3.6%

BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Home & Under 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.0%

HT Over 1.569.2%

2nd Half More Goals50.3%

HT Away Win47.9%

HT Both Teams Score47.2%

HT/FT Away/Away40.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.530.8%

HT Draw26.7%

HT Home Win25.4%

Equal Goals Each Half17.3%

HT/FT Home/Home15.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.6%

HT Under 0.59.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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