Germany · Bundesliga

FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04

Kick-off 16:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

FC Augsburg 40.2% Draw 34.0% FC Schalke 04 25.8%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 92%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

89%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.7%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to FC Augsburg: 11 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.7%

Exact-score model probability

FC Augsburg

L W W D W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 11:10 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.67

FC Schalke 04

W L W L D L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:15 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.5

Head to head · last 2

FC Augsburg 1wins ·1 draws ·FC Schalke 04 0wins

FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Schalke 04Mar 18, 2023

FC Augsburg 3-2 FC Schalke 04Oct 2, 2022

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Augsburg win40.2%

Draw34.0%

FC Schalke 04 win25.8%

Over 1.5 goals55.7%

Over 2.5 goals97.2%

Over 3.5 goals11.5%

Both teams to score91.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.1%

Goal in Both Halves89.1%

Home or Away (12)84.2%

Home or Draw (1X)77.5%

Draw No Bet - Home74.7%

Home Win63.0%

Draw or Away (X2)35.8%

Draw No Bet - Away25.3%

Away Win21.3%

Draw14.5%

Exactly 1 Goal1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals96.8%

Over 2.5 Goals91.9%

Over 3.5 Goals82.3%

4+ Goals82.3%

Over 4.5 Goals68.3%

Over 5.5 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 5.5 Goals48.1%

Under 4.5 Goals31.7%

2-4 Goals28.5%

3-4 Goals23.6%

Under 3.5 Goals17.7%

1-3 Goals16.1%

2-3 Goals14.5%

Exactly 3 Goals9.6%

Under 2.5 Goals8.1%

1-2 Goals6.6%

Exactly 2 Goals4.9%

Under 1.5 Goals3.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score88.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.2%

Home Clean Sheet10.6%

Home Win to Nil10.3%

Away Clean Sheet2.7%

Away Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 0.588.2%

Home Over 1.586.4%

Home Over 2.568.9%

Home 3+ Goals68.9%

Away Over 1.564.5%

Away Over 2.538.1%

Away 3+ Goals38.1%

Away Exactly 226.4%

Away Exactly 123.6%

Home Exactly 217.5%

Away Exactly 010.6%

Home Exactly 19.7%

Home Exactly 02.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)81.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away81.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)68.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away68.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)63.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)35.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away35.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.2%

Home to win by 3+30.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 216.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.3%

Away to win by 110.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.1%

Away to win by 26.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.9%

Away to win by 3+4.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.583.5%

Home & Over 2.560.0%

Home & BTTS52.7%

Away & Over 2.519.9%

Away & BTTS18.9%

Draw & BTTS14.2%

Draw & Over 2.511.9%

Home & No BTTS10.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Home & Under 2.52.9%

Draw & Under 2.52.6%

Away & No BTTS2.4%

BTTS & Under 2.52.3%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.8%

HT Over 1.574.0%

HT Home Win52.0%

2nd Half More Goals51.1%

HT Both Teams Score51.0%

HT/FT Home/Home44.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.526.0%

HT Draw24.7%

HT Away Win23.3%

Equal Goals Each Half16.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.6%

HT/FT Away/Away12.8%

HT Under 0.57.2%

HT/FT Away/Home5.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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