Germany · Bundesliga

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg

Full time · 1:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

FC Augsburg 42.1% Draw 24.8% SC Freiburg 33.1%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 92%

✓ Pick was correct (1:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

92%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to SC Freiburg: 6 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.4%

Exact-score model probability

FC Augsburg

D L D L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 14:13 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 2.17

SC Freiburg

L L W D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 12:8 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

FC Augsburg 2wins ·2 draws ·SC Freiburg 1wins

FC Augsburg 2-2 SC FreiburgJan 18, 2026

FC Augsburg 3-1 SC FreiburgAug 23, 2025

FC Augsburg 0-0 SC FreiburgMar 2, 2025

FC Augsburg 1-3 SC FreiburgOct 19, 2024

FC Augsburg 2-1 SC FreiburgFeb 25, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Augsburg win42.1%

Draw24.8%

SC Freiburg win33.1%

Over 1.5 goals81.9%

Over 2.5 goals95.3%

Over 3.5 goals37.3%

Both teams to score92.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.4%

Away Over 0.5

91.4%

HT Over 0.5

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.584.8%

Goal in Both Halves84.8%

Home or Away (12)81.7%

Home or Draw (1X)62.0%

Draw or Away (X2)55.8%

Draw No Bet - Home53.8%

Draw No Bet - Away46.2%

Home Win43.9%

Away Win37.7%

Draw18.0%

Exactly 1 Goal3.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.1%

Over 2.5 Goals88.4%

Over 3.5 Goals75.2%

4+ Goals75.2%

Under 5.5 Goals59.4%

Over 4.5 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals41.9%

Over 5.5 Goals40.6%

2-4 Goals38.0%

3-4 Goals30.3%

Under 3.5 Goals24.8%

1-3 Goals24.0%

2-3 Goals21.0%

Exactly 3 Goals13.2%

Under 2.5 Goals11.6%

1-2 Goals10.7%

Exactly 2 Goals7.7%

Under 1.5 Goals3.9%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.8%

Away Team to Score91.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.0%

Home Clean Sheet8.4%

Home Win to Nil7.8%

Away Clean Sheet7.0%

Away Win to Nil6.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.8%

Away Over 0.591.4%

Home Over 1.574.2%

Away Over 1.570.6%

Home Over 2.549.5%

Home 3+ Goals49.5%

Away Over 2.544.9%

Away 3+ Goals44.9%

Away Exactly 225.7%

Home Exactly 224.7%

Away Exactly 120.7%

Home Exactly 118.6%

Away Exactly 08.4%

Home Exactly 07.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)55.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away55.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)43.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 115.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.6%

Home to win by 3+14.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.6%

Home to win by 212.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.2%

Away to win by 3+11.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.9%

Away to win by 210.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.1%

Home & Over 2.540.3%

Home & BTTS36.2%

Away & Over 2.534.5%

Away & BTTS31.4%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Draw & Over 2.513.6%

Home & No BTTS7.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.3%

Away & No BTTS6.4%

Draw & Under 2.54.4%

BTTS & Under 2.53.9%

Home & Under 2.53.6%

Away & Under 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.1%

HT Over 1.567.2%

2nd Half More Goals49.9%

HT Both Teams Score47.0%

HT Home Win37.9%

HT Away Win33.9%

HT Under 1.532.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Home/Home28.3%

HT Draw28.2%

HT/FT Away/Away23.8%

Equal Goals Each Half17.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.2%

HT Under 0.59.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away4.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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