USA · Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew

Kick-off 22:00 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

58% confidence

FC Cincinnati 57.9% Draw 14.2% Columbus Crew 27.9%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

95%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is FC Cincinnati win at 57.9%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Cincinnati: 6 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

FC Cincinnati win

57.9%

1X2 model probability

Draw

14.2%

1X2 model probability

Columbus Crew win

27.9%

1X2 model probability

FC Cincinnati

D D L L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:16 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.67

Columbus Crew

L W L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 1

FC Cincinnati 0wins ·0 draws ·Columbus Crew 1wins

FC Cincinnati 1-2 Columbus CrewJul 26, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Cincinnati win57.9%

Draw14.2%

Columbus Crew win27.9%

Over 1.5 goals99.7%

Over 2.5 goals98.4%

Over 3.5 goals95.0%

Both teams to score95.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.9%

Away Over 0.5

91.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.595.8%

Goal in Both Halves95.8%

Home or Away (12)81.9%

Home or Draw (1X)68.6%

Draw No Bet - Home67.4%

Home Win55.2%

Draw or Away (X2)40.0%

Draw No Bet - Away32.6%

Away Win26.7%

Draw13.4%

Exactly 1 Goal0.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Over 1.5 Goals94.9%

Over 2.5 Goals93.7%

Over 3.5 Goals90.5%

4+ Goals90.5%

Over 4.5 Goals84.3%

Over 5.5 Goals74.6%

Total Goals Odd47.6%

Total Goals Even47.6%

Under 5.5 Goals25.4%

Under 4.5 Goals15.7%

2-4 Goals10.6%

Under 3.5 Goals9.5%

3-4 Goals9.4%

Under 2.5 Goals6.3%

Under 1.5 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

1-3 Goals4.7%

2-3 Goals4.4%

Exactly 3 Goals3.2%

1-2 Goals1.5%

Exactly 2 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.2%

Away Team to Score91.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.2%

Home Clean Sheet3.4%

Home Win to Nil3.4%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.2%

Away Over 0.591.9%

Home Over 1.589.2%

Away Over 1.580.5%

Home Over 2.578.0%

Home 3+ Goals78.0%

Away Over 2.561.5%

Away 3+ Goals61.5%

Away Exactly 219.0%

Away Exactly 111.4%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 03.4%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away87.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)68.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away68.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)54.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away54.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)40.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home40.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.2%

Home to win by 3+27.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)26.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.4%

Home to win by 114.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.6%

Home to win by 213.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.7%

Away to win by 110.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.5%

Away to win by 3+8.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.5%

Away to win by 27.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.2%

Home & Over 2.554.6%

Home & BTTS51.8%

Away & Over 2.526.3%

Away & BTTS25.6%

Draw & BTTS13.3%

Draw & Over 2.512.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.5%

Home & No BTTS3.4%

Away & No BTTS1.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.0%

Home & Under 2.50.6%

Draw & Under 2.50.6%

BTTS & Under 2.50.6%

Away & Under 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.597.0%

HT Over 1.586.7%

HT Both Teams Score67.4%

2nd Half More Goals53.8%

HT Home Win49.8%

HT/FT Home/Home41.0%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Away Win28.7%

HT Draw21.5%

HT/FT Away/Away17.1%

Equal Goals Each Half14.0%

HT Under 1.513.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.2%

HT/FT Away/Home6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away4.1%

HT Under 0.53.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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