USA · Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs DC United

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

74% confidence

FC Cincinnati 73.7% Draw 11.8% DC United 14.5%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 89%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

89%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 85.5% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 14.5% on the only losing outcome.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Cincinnati: 8 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

85.5%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

14.5%

Only the uncovered result loses

FC Cincinnati

L D W D W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

DC United

L L D D W D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 7:11 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Cincinnati win73.7%

Draw11.8%

DC United win14.5%

Over 1.5 goals99.2%

Over 2.5 goals96.3%

Over 3.5 goals90.1%

Both teams to score88.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Over 1.5

89.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.592.9%

Goal in Both Halves92.9%

Home or Away (12)84.9%

Draw No Bet - Home83.4%

Home or Draw (1X)81.8%

Home Win70.8%

Draw or Away (X2)25.1%

Draw No Bet - Away16.6%

Away Win14.1%

Draw11.0%

Exactly 1 Goal0.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals95.0%

Over 2.5 Goals92.4%

Over 3.5 Goals86.4%

4+ Goals86.4%

Over 4.5 Goals76.4%

Over 5.5 Goals62.7%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals37.3%

Under 4.5 Goals23.6%

2-4 Goals18.7%

3-4 Goals16.0%

Under 3.5 Goals13.6%

1-3 Goals9.4%

2-3 Goals8.6%

Under 2.5 Goals7.6%

Exactly 3 Goals6.0%

Under 1.5 Goals5.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

1-2 Goals3.4%

Exactly 2 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.8%

Away Team to Score86.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.0%

Home Clean Sheet10.0%

Home Win to Nil9.8%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 1.589.8%

Away Over 0.586.0%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 1.563.4%

Away Over 2.537.8%

Away 3+ Goals37.8%

Away Exactly 225.6%

Away Exactly 122.6%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 010.0%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away81.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away69.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)56.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home56.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)55.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away55.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)40.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home40.9%

Home to win by 3+40.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)39.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away39.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home26.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)25.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away25.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 215.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home14.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.3%

Home to win by 114.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.2%

Away to win by 17.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.0%

Away to win by 24.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.9%

Away to win by 3+2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.583.8%

Home & Over 2.569.1%

Home & BTTS61.0%

Away & Over 2.513.5%

Away & BTTS13.1%

Draw & BTTS10.9%

Home & No BTTS9.8%

Draw & Over 2.59.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.4%

Home & Under 2.51.7%

Draw & Under 2.51.3%

BTTS & Under 2.51.2%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.2%

HT Over 1.580.7%

HT Home Win60.6%

HT Both Teams Score55.5%

HT/FT Home/Home54.8%

2nd Half More Goals52.4%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw21.0%

HT Under 1.519.3%

HT Away Win18.4%

Equal Goals Each Half15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.5%

HT/FT Away/Away8.3%

HT/FT Away/Home6.4%

HT Under 0.54.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners83.4%

Under 10.5 Corners74.5%

Away Most Corners69.5%

Under 9.5 Corners63.1%

Away Over 4.5 Corners61.6%

Over 8.5 Corners50.0%

Under 8.5 Corners50.0%

Over 9.5 Corners36.9%

Over 10.5 Corners25.5%

Home Over 4.5 Corners24.4%

Home Most Corners19.5%

Over 11.5 Corners16.6%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards80.7%

Under 5.5 Cards73.1%

Over 3.5 Cards62.9%

Under 4.5 Cards56.4%

Over 4.5 Cards43.6%

Under 3.5 Cards37.1%

Over 5.5 Cards26.9%

Under 2.5 Cards19.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards17.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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