USA · Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

50% confidence

FC Cincinnati 50.4% Draw 15.0% New England Revolution 34.6%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 96%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is FC Cincinnati win at 50.4%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to New England Revolution: 6 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

FC Cincinnati win

50.4%

1X2 model probability

Draw

15%

1X2 model probability

New England Revolution win

34.6%

1X2 model probability

FC Cincinnati

D D L L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:16 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.67

New England Revolution

L W W L W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Cincinnati win50.4%

Draw15.0%

New England Revolution win34.6%

Over 1.5 goals99.7%

Over 2.5 goals98.2%

Over 3.5 goals94.6%

Both teams to score95.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Teams Score (GG)

92.0%

BTTS & Over 2.5

91.4%

Over 3.5 Goals

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.595.4%

Goal in Both Halves95.4%

Home or Away (12)82.1%

Home or Draw (1X)63.0%

Draw No Bet - Home59.3%

Home Win48.7%

Draw or Away (X2)47.7%

Draw No Bet - Away40.7%

Away Win33.4%

Draw14.3%

Exactly 1 Goal0.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.3%

Over 1.5 Goals96.0%

Over 2.5 Goals94.6%

Over 3.5 Goals91.1%

4+ Goals91.1%

Over 4.5 Goals84.4%

Over 5.5 Goals74.2%

Total Goals Odd48.2%

Total Goals Even48.2%

Under 5.5 Goals25.8%

Under 4.5 Goals15.6%

2-4 Goals11.5%

3-4 Goals10.2%

Under 3.5 Goals8.9%

Under 2.5 Goals5.4%

1-3 Goals5.2%

2-3 Goals4.9%

Under 1.5 Goals4.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.7%

Exactly 3 Goals3.5%

1-2 Goals1.7%

Exactly 2 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.8%

Away Team to Score93.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)92.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)8.0%

Home Clean Sheet2.8%

Home Win to Nil2.8%

Away Clean Sheet1.6%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.8%

Away Over 0.593.6%

Home Over 1.588.3%

Away Over 1.583.6%

Home Over 2.574.8%

Home 3+ Goals74.8%

Away Over 2.565.8%

Away 3+ Goals65.8%

Away Exactly 217.7%

Home Exactly 213.5%

Away Exactly 110.0%

Home Exactly 16.5%

Away Exactly 02.8%

Home Exactly 01.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)74.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away74.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)63.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home63.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away62.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)48.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)33.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.7%

Home to win by 3+21.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.4%

Home to win by 114.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.6%

Home to win by 212.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.3%

Away to win by 112.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.8%

Away to win by 3+11.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.2%

Away to win by 29.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.8%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.591.4%

Home & Over 2.548.1%

Home & BTTS45.9%

Away & Over 2.532.9%

Away & BTTS31.8%

Draw & BTTS14.3%

Draw & Over 2.513.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.3%

Home & No BTTS2.8%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.1%

Draw & Under 2.50.7%

BTTS & Under 2.50.7%

Home & Under 2.50.6%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.8%

HT Over 1.585.9%

HT Both Teams Score67.3%

2nd Half More Goals53.6%

HT Home Win44.4%

HT/FT Home/Home34.5%

HT Away Win33.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw22.2%

HT/FT Away/Away22.0%

HT Under 1.514.1%

Equal Goals Each Half14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.5%

HT/FT Away/Home6.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away4.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.4%

HT Under 0.53.2%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners71.6%

Over 8.5 Corners64.8%

Under 10.5 Corners60.4%

Away Over 4.5 Corners56.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners52.2%

Over 9.5 Corners52.1%

Under 9.5 Corners47.9%

Away Most Corners46.7%

Home Most Corners40.4%

Over 10.5 Corners39.6%

Under 8.5 Corners35.2%

Over 11.5 Corners28.4%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards88.4%

Under 4.5 Cards76.4%

Over 2.5 Cards63.9%

Under 3.5 Cards58.2%

Over 3.5 Cards41.8%

Under 2.5 Cards36.1%

Over 4.5 Cards23.6%

Over 0.5 Red Cards13.2%

Over 5.5 Cards11.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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