USA · Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

FC Cincinnati 63.3% Draw 14.6% New York City FC 22.1%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.1%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to FC Cincinnati: 11 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.1%

Exact-score model probability

FC Cincinnati

D W L W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 19:13 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 2.17

New York City FC

L D W W L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Cincinnati win63.3%

Draw14.6%

New York City FC win22.1%

Over 1.5 goals99.0%

Over 2.5 goals95.3%

Over 3.5 goals87.9%

Both teams to score90.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.6%

Goal in Both Halves

91.6%

Away Team to Score

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.6%

Goal in Both Halves91.6%

Home or Away (12)84.1%

Home or Draw (1X)76.1%

Draw No Bet - Home74.0%

Home Win62.2%

Draw or Away (X2)35.8%

Draw No Bet - Away26.0%

Away Win21.9%

Draw13.9%

Exactly 1 Goal1.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals96.8%

Over 2.5 Goals93.4%

Over 3.5 Goals86.1%

4+ Goals86.1%

Over 4.5 Goals74.5%

Over 5.5 Goals59.7%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

Total Goals Even49.0%

Under 5.5 Goals40.3%

Under 4.5 Goals25.5%

2-4 Goals22.3%

3-4 Goals18.9%

Under 3.5 Goals13.9%

1-3 Goals11.7%

2-3 Goals10.6%

Exactly 3 Goals7.3%

Under 2.5 Goals6.6%

1-2 Goals4.5%

Exactly 2 Goals3.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score89.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.0%

Home Clean Sheet8.2%

Home Win to Nil8.0%

Away Clean Sheet2.0%

Away Win to Nil1.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Away Over 0.589.9%

Home Over 1.588.2%

Home Over 2.572.9%

Home 3+ Goals72.9%

Away Over 1.569.6%

Away Over 2.544.3%

Away 3+ Goals44.3%

Away Exactly 225.2%

Away Exactly 120.3%

Home Exactly 215.3%

Away Exactly 08.2%

Home Exactly 17.8%

Home Exactly 02.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)51.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away51.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)35.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away35.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.8%

Home to win by 3+30.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 116.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.1%

Away to win by 110.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.2%

Away to win by 26.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.5%

Away to win by 3+5.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.586.4%

Home & Over 2.560.3%

Home & BTTS54.2%

Away & Over 2.520.9%

Away & BTTS20.0%

Draw & BTTS13.7%

Draw & Over 2.512.1%

Home & No BTTS8.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Home & Under 2.51.9%

Draw & Under 2.51.8%

Away & No BTTS1.8%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.4%

HT Over 1.578.2%

HT Both Teams Score55.8%

HT Home Win52.4%

2nd Half More Goals51.9%

HT/FT Home/Home44.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win24.1%

HT Draw23.5%

HT Under 1.521.8%

Equal Goals Each Half15.6%

HT/FT Away/Away13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.0%

HT/FT Away/Home6.3%

HT Under 0.55.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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