USA · Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union

Kick-off 19:00 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

60% confidence

FC Cincinnati 25.7% Draw 13.9% Philadelphia Union 60.4%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

94%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Philadelphia Union win at 60.4%.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Philadelphia Union: 6 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

FC Cincinnati win

25.7%

1X2 model probability

Draw

13.9%

1X2 model probability

Philadelphia Union win

60.4%

1X2 model probability

FC Cincinnati

D D L L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:16 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.67

Philadelphia Union

D W W W W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 19:4 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 1

FC Cincinnati 0wins ·0 draws ·Philadelphia Union 1wins

FC Cincinnati 0-5 Philadelphia UnionSep 10, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Cincinnati win25.7%

Draw13.9%

Philadelphia Union win60.4%

Over 1.5 goals99.7%

Over 2.5 goals98.1%

Over 3.5 goals94.4%

Both teams to score94.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

Home Team to Score

91.4%

Home Over 0.5

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.595.4%

Goal in Both Halves95.4%

Home or Away (12)82.3%

Draw or Away (X2)70.8%

Draw No Bet - Away70.1%

Away Win57.7%

Home or Draw (1X)37.8%

Draw No Bet - Home29.9%

Home Win24.6%

Draw13.1%

Exactly 1 Goal0.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Over 1.5 Goals95.1%

Over 2.5 Goals93.7%

Over 3.5 Goals90.2%

4+ Goals90.2%

Over 4.5 Goals83.4%

Over 5.5 Goals73.1%

Total Goals Odd47.7%

Total Goals Even47.7%

Under 5.5 Goals26.9%

Under 4.5 Goals16.6%

2-4 Goals11.6%

3-4 Goals10.3%

Under 3.5 Goals9.8%

Under 2.5 Goals6.3%

1-3 Goals5.3%

Under 1.5 Goals4.9%

2-3 Goals4.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 3 Goals3.5%

1-2 Goals1.7%

Exactly 2 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.4%

Home Team to Score91.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.6%

Away Clean Sheet4.1%

Away Win to Nil4.0%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.4%

Home Over 0.591.4%

Away Over 1.589.4%

Home Over 1.578.6%

Away Over 2.578.2%

Away 3+ Goals78.2%

Home Over 2.558.3%

Home 3+ Goals58.3%

Home Exactly 220.3%

Home Exactly 112.8%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 04.1%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)91.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home86.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home78.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)70.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away70.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)66.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home66.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)57.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)52.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home52.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)43.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away43.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)37.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home37.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away29.1%

Away to win by 3+29.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)24.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away17.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 114.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.0%

Away to win by 214.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.2%

Home to win by 110.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.4%

Home to win by 3+7.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.9%

Home to win by 26.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.589.7%

Away & Over 2.557.0%

Away & BTTS53.7%

Home & Over 2.524.2%

Home & BTTS23.6%

Draw & BTTS13.1%

Draw & Over 2.512.4%

Away & No BTTS4.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.0%

Home & No BTTS1.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.1%

Draw & Under 2.50.7%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

BTTS & Under 2.50.7%

Home & Under 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.8%

HT Over 1.585.8%

HT Both Teams Score65.9%

2nd Half More Goals53.6%

HT Away Win51.5%

HT/FT Away/Away43.1%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Home Win27.0%

HT Draw21.5%

HT/FT Home/Home15.6%

HT Under 1.514.2%

Equal Goals Each Half14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.6%

HT/FT Home/Away6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT Under 0.53.2%

Corners (12)

Away Most Corners82.1%

Away Over 4.5 Corners77.6%

Under 11.5 Corners73.4%

Over 8.5 Corners62.8%

Under 10.5 Corners62.5%

Over 9.5 Corners50.0%

Under 9.5 Corners50.0%

Over 10.5 Corners37.5%

Under 8.5 Corners37.2%

Over 11.5 Corners26.6%

Home Over 4.5 Corners21.3%

Home Most Corners10.4%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards81.1%

Over 2.5 Cards73.6%

Under 4.5 Cards66.1%

Over 3.5 Cards53.3%

Under 3.5 Cards46.7%

Over 4.5 Cards33.9%

Under 2.5 Cards26.4%

Over 5.5 Cards18.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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