USA · Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes

Full time · 4:2

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

61% confidence

FC Cincinnati 60.7% Draw 13.9% San Jose Earthquakes 25.4%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%

✓ Pick was correct (4:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 58%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is FC Cincinnati win at 60.7%.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to FC Cincinnati: 9 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

FC Cincinnati win

60.7%

1X2 model probability

Draw

13.9%

1X2 model probability

San Jose Earthquakes win

25.4%

1X2 model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

58%

Market does not fully agree

FC Cincinnati

L W W D D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 16:12 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 2

San Jose Earthquakes

D L W L L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Cincinnati win60.7%

Draw13.9%

San Jose Earthquakes win25.4%

Over 1.5 goals99.7%

Over 2.5 goals98.1%

Over 3.5 goals94.4%

Both teams to score94.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

Away Team to Score

91.3%

Away Over 0.5

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.595.3%

Goal in Both Halves95.3%

Home or Away (12)82.4%

Home or Draw (1X)71.1%

Draw No Bet - Home70.4%

Home Win58.0%

Draw or Away (X2)37.5%

Draw No Bet - Away29.6%

Away Win24.4%

Draw13.1%

Exactly 1 Goal0.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Over 1.5 Goals95.1%

Over 2.5 Goals93.7%

Over 3.5 Goals90.1%

4+ Goals90.1%

Over 4.5 Goals83.3%

Over 5.5 Goals72.9%

Total Goals Odd47.7%

Total Goals Even47.7%

Under 5.5 Goals27.1%

Under 4.5 Goals16.7%

2-4 Goals11.8%

3-4 Goals10.4%

Under 3.5 Goals9.9%

Under 2.5 Goals6.3%

1-3 Goals5.3%

2-3 Goals5.0%

Under 1.5 Goals4.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 3 Goals3.6%

1-2 Goals1.8%

Exactly 2 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.4%

Away Team to Score91.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.7%

Home Clean Sheet4.1%

Home Win to Nil4.1%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.4%

Away Over 0.591.3%

Home Over 1.589.4%

Away Over 1.578.3%

Home Over 2.578.2%

Home 3+ Goals78.2%

Away Over 2.557.9%

Away 3+ Goals57.9%

Away Exactly 220.5%

Away Exactly 113.0%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 04.1%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away77.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)66.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away66.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)58.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)43.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home43.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)37.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away37.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home29.4%

Home to win by 3+29.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 114.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.1%

Home to win by 214.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.2%

Away to win by 110.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.3%

Away to win by 3+7.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.9%

Away to win by 26.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.589.6%

Home & Over 2.557.3%

Home & BTTS53.9%

Away & Over 2.524.0%

Away & BTTS23.3%

Draw & BTTS13.1%

Draw & Over 2.512.4%

Home & No BTTS4.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.1%

Away & No BTTS1.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.1%

Home & Under 2.50.7%

Draw & Under 2.50.7%

BTTS & Under 2.50.7%

Away & Under 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.8%

HT Over 1.585.7%

HT Both Teams Score65.7%

2nd Half More Goals53.5%

HT Home Win51.7%

HT/FT Home/Home43.4%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Away Win26.8%

HT Draw21.5%

HT/FT Away/Away15.4%

HT Under 1.514.3%

Equal Goals Each Half14.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.7%

HT/FT Away/Home6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

HT Under 0.53.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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