USA · Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

90% confidence

FC Cincinnati 89.7% Draw 6.7% Seattle Sounders 3.6%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

91%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to FC Cincinnati: 13 points versus 0 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

FC Cincinnati

W D W L W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 18:11 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 1.83

Seattle Sounders

L L L L L L

Form 0-0-6 Goals 4:15 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Cincinnati win89.7%

Draw6.7%

Seattle Sounders win3.6%

Over 1.5 goals97.6%

Over 2.5 goals91.1%

Over 3.5 goals79.6%

Both teams to score64.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.8%

Home or Away (12)

90.0%

Home Over 1.5

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home95.9%

Home or Draw (1X)92.3%

Home or Away (12)90.0%

Both Halves Over 0.587.5%

Goal in Both Halves87.5%

Home Win86.3%

Draw or Away (X2)9.6%

Draw6.0%

Draw No Bet - Away4.1%

Away Win3.7%

Exactly 1 Goal2.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.4%

Over 2.5 Goals87.5%

Over 3.5 Goals76.4%

4+ Goals76.4%

Over 4.5 Goals61.1%

Under 5.5 Goals56.0%

Total Goals Even48.1%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Over 5.5 Goals44.0%

Under 4.5 Goals38.9%

2-4 Goals32.4%

3-4 Goals26.4%

Under 3.5 Goals23.6%

1-3 Goals19.2%

2-3 Goals17.0%

Under 2.5 Goals12.5%

Exactly 3 Goals11.0%

1-2 Goals8.1%

Under 1.5 Goals6.6%

Exactly 2 Goals6.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score62.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.1%

Home Clean Sheet33.4%

Home Win to Nil33.0%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 0.562.6%

Away Exactly 135.3%

Away Exactly 033.4%

Away Over 1.527.3%

Away Exactly 218.6%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Over 2.58.7%

Away 3+ Goals8.7%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)86.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)81.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)75.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home75.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)68.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away68.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home60.3%

Home to win by 3+60.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)52.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away52.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)43.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home43.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)35.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away35.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)27.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home27.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away20.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.2%

Home to win by 215.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home14.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw12.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.8%

Home to win by 110.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away9.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 12.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 20.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.580.7%

BTTS & Over 2.560.0%

Home & BTTS53.3%

Home & No BTTS33.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.527.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Home & Under 2.55.7%

Draw & BTTS5.6%

Draw & Over 2.53.7%

Away & Over 2.53.0%

Away & BTTS2.9%

Draw & Under 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Away & No BTTS0.7%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.8%

HT Home Win74.2%

HT/FT Home/Home72.0%

HT Over 1.571.2%

2nd Half More Goals50.5%

HT Both Teams Score32.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.8%

HT Draw18.2%

Equal Goals Each Half16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.4%

HT Under 0.58.2%

HT Away Win7.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Away/Away2.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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