UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Copenhagen vs Debreceni VSC

Kick-off 17:00 · Wed, Aug 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home Win

85% confidence

FC Copenhagen 85.0% Draw 10.0% Debreceni VSC 5.0%

Over 2.5 - 67% BTTS - 35%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

Strong form

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 75%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring

70%

Home Clean Sheet

Defensive strength

65%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

FC Copenhagen has a significant form gap over Debreceni VSC, with a strong attacking threat and defensive strength. The absence of a key striker for FC Copenhagen may impact their attack, but their overall squad depth should still prevail. Debreceni VSC's struggle to score, with only 0.33 goals per game, further supports a home win. The H2H significance also favors FC Copenhagen, having won the last meeting 3-0. FC Copenhagen's home advantage and pi-rating differential of 0.08 also support their win.

💡

Top Tip

FC Copenhagen is likely to win due to their strong form and home advantage

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 14.4%, based on the goal model.

Strong form

Recent form leans to FC Copenhagen: 7 points versus 4 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home Win

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.4%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

75%

Market agrees with this pick

FC Copenhagen

W W D

Form 2-1-0 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Debreceni VSC

L D W

Form 1-1-1 Goals 1:3 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

FC Copenhagen 1wins ·0 draws ·Debreceni VSC 0wins

FC Copenhagen 3-0 Debreceni VSCAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Copenhagen win85.0%

Draw10.0%

Debreceni VSC win5.0%

Over 1.5 goals87.0%

Over 2.5 goals66.5%

Over 3.5 goals46.3%

Both teams to score34.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

90.9%

Home Win

87.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.7%

Home or Draw (1X)96.6%

Home or Away (12)90.9%

Home Win87.9%

Both Halves Over 0.567.9%

Goal in Both Halves67.9%

Draw or Away (X2)11.6%

Exactly 1 Goal10.5%

Draw8.7%

Draw No Bet - Away3.3%

Away Win3.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.6%

Over 1.5 Goals86.1%

Under 5.5 Goals86.1%

Under 4.5 Goals72.8%

Over 2.5 Goals67.7%

2-4 Goals58.9%

Under 3.5 Goals53.9%

1-3 Goals50.4%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 3.5 Goals46.1%

4+ Goals46.1%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.0%

Under 2.5 Goals32.3%

1-2 Goals28.9%

Over 4.5 Goals27.2%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Exactly 2 Goals18.4%

Under 1.5 Goals13.9%

Over 5.5 Goals13.9%

Under 0.5 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)66.0%

Home Clean Sheet63.9%

Home Win to Nil60.9%

Away Team to Score35.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)34.0%

Away Clean Sheet4.7%

Away Win to Nil1.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.580.6%

Away Exactly 063.9%

Home Over 2.558.7%

Home 3+ Goals58.7%

Away Over 0.535.7%

Away Exactly 128.4%

Home Exactly 221.9%

Home Exactly 114.3%

Away Over 1.57.3%

Away Exactly 26.3%

Home Exactly 04.7%

Away Over 2.51.0%

Away 3+ Goals1.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home96.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)87.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away84.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)70.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home70.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)70.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away70.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)50.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away50.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)49.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home49.3%

Home to win by 3+49.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home29.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away28.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.6%

Home to win by 221.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw20.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.0%

Home to win by 117.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home15.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away11.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 12.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.5%

Away to win by 20.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.564.7%

Home & No BTTS60.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.537.7%

BTTS & Over 2.530.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.8%

Home & BTTS27.0%

Home & Under 2.523.2%

Draw & Under 2.57.1%

Draw & BTTS5.7%

BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Away & No BTTS1.7%

Draw & Over 2.51.6%

Away & Under 2.51.6%

Away & Over 2.51.4%

Away & BTTS1.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.4%

HT Home Win68.1%

HT/FT Home/Home66.4%

HT Under 1.553.1%

HT Over 1.546.9%

2nd Half More Goals46.2%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw26.7%

Equal Goals Each Half21.9%

HT Under 0.520.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.8%

HT Both Teams Score13.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.6%

HT Away Win5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.2%

HT/FT Away/Away1.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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