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UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Copenhagen vs Polessya

Kick-off 18:00 · Wed, Jul 29
📊 Our Prediction
Over 2.5 Goals
99% confidence
FC Copenhagen 43.0% Draw 14.0% Polessya 43.0%
Over 2.5 - 99% BTTS - 98%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
High scoring teams
⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 45%
⚠️ AIs disagree
69%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Both Teams Score (GG)
High BTTS rate
90%
Over 3.5 Goals
High xG values
85%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

FC Copenhagen and Polessya have a high scoring history, with their last match ending 3-3. Both teams have a strong attacking threat, with FC Copenhagen's Elyounoussi and Polessya's key players posing a threat. The defensive strength of both teams is a concern, with neither team keeping a clean sheet in their last match. The H2H significance is low, with only one previous match. FC Copenhagen are missing a key striker, which may impact their attack. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring nature of both teams.
💡
Top Tip
Over 2
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 99.2% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.
High scoring teams
Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals probability
99.2%
Chance of 3+ total goals
FC Copenhagen high-scoring games
100%
Recent matches with 3+ goals
Polessya high-scoring games
100%
Recent matches with 3+ goals
Bookmaker implied chance
45%
Market does not fully agree
FC Copenhagen
D
Form 0-1-0 Goals 3:3 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 3
Polessya
D
Form 0-1-0 Goals 3:3 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 3
Head to head · last 1
FC Copenhagen 0wins ·1 draws ·Polessya 0wins
FC Copenhagen 3-3 PolessyaJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Copenhagen win43.0%
Draw14.0%
Polessya win43.0%
Over 1.5 goals99.9%
Over 2.5 goals99.2%
Over 3.5 goals97.7%
Both teams to score97.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals
92.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
91.5%
HT Over 1.5
91.1%
Match Result (11)
Both Halves Over 0.597.6%
Goal in Both Halves97.6%
Home or Away (12)78.7%
Home or Draw (1X)52.8%
Draw or Away (X2)52.8%
Draw No Bet - Home50.0%
Draw No Bet - Away50.0%
Home Win39.3%
Away Win39.3%
Draw13.4%
Exactly 1 Goal0.1%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals92.1%
Over 1.5 Goals92.0%
Over 2.5 Goals91.5%
Over 3.5 Goals90.0%
4+ Goals90.0%
Over 4.5 Goals86.6%
Over 5.5 Goals80.5%
Total Goals Even46.1%
Total Goals Odd46.0%
Under 5.5 Goals19.5%
Under 4.5 Goals13.4%
Under 3.5 Goals10.0%
Under 2.5 Goals8.5%
Under 1.5 Goals8.0%
Under 0.5 Goals7.9%
2-4 Goals5.4%
3-4 Goals4.9%
1-3 Goals2.1%
2-3 Goals2.0%
Exactly 3 Goals1.5%
1-2 Goals0.6%
Exactly 2 Goals0.5%
Exactly 0 Goals0.0%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score91.0%
Away Team to Score91.0%
Both Teams Score (GG)90.0%
No Both Teams Score (NG)10.0%
Home Clean Sheet1.1%
Away Clean Sheet1.1%
Home Win to Nil1.1%
Away Win to Nil1.1%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.591.0%
Away Over 0.591.0%
Home Over 1.586.2%
Away Over 1.586.2%
Home Over 2.575.5%
Away Over 2.575.5%
Home 3+ Goals75.5%
Away 3+ Goals75.5%
Home Exactly 210.8%
Away Exactly 210.8%
Home Exactly 14.8%
Away Exactly 14.8%
Home Exactly 01.1%
Away Exactly 01.1%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +5.5 (Handicap)90.7%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.7%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.1%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.1%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)83.3%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.3%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home83.3%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.3%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)75.8%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home75.8%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.8%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)65.4%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home65.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.4%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)52.8%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.8%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home52.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.8%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.3%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.3%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.8%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.8%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.8%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.3%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)16.3%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away16.3%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.3%
Home to win by 3+16.3%
Away to win by 3+16.3%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.6%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.6%
Home to win by 112.6%
Away to win by 112.6%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.4%
Home to win by 210.4%
Away to win by 210.4%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.8%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.8%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.6%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.8%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.8%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.0%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.5%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.4%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.589.7%
Home & Over 2.539.2%
Away & Over 2.539.2%
Home & BTTS38.3%
Away & BTTS38.3%
Draw & BTTS13.4%
Draw & Over 2.513.2%
No BTTS & Over 2.51.7%
Home & No BTTS1.1%
Away & No BTTS1.1%
No BTTS & Under 2.50.4%
Draw & Under 2.50.3%
Home & Under 2.50.2%
Away & Under 2.50.2%
BTTS & Under 2.50.2%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.598.2%
HT Over 1.591.1%
HT Both Teams Score75.3%
2nd Half More Goals55.0%
HT Home Win39.7%
HT Away Win39.7%
1st Half More Goals31.8%
HT/FT Away/Away28.6%
HT/FT Home/Home28.6%
HT Draw20.6%
Equal Goals Each Half12.9%
HT Under 1.58.9%
HT/FT Draw/Away8.4%
HT/FT Draw/Home8.4%
HT/FT Away/Home6.2%
HT/FT Home/Away6.2%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%
HT/FT Draw/Draw3.8%
HT Under 0.51.8%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

FC Copenhagen win33%
Draw33%
Polessya win33%
AdviceNo predictions available
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
← All predictions
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