USA · Major League Soccer

FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids

Full time · 3:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

72% confidence

FC Dallas 71.9% Draw 17.5% Colorado Rapids 10.6%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 58%

✓ Pick was correct (3:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to FC Dallas: 11 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.5%

Exact-score model probability

FC Dallas

L W D W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Colorado Rapids

W W D D D D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 1

FC Dallas 1wins ·0 draws ·Colorado Rapids 0wins

FC Dallas 2-1 Colorado RapidsMay 24, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Dallas win71.9%

Draw17.5%

Colorado Rapids win10.6%

Over 1.5 goals88.1%

Over 2.5 goals69.4%

Over 3.5 goals48.0%

Both teams to score58.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

88.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

88.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.3%

Draw No Bet - Home86.3%

Home or Away (12)84.2%

Home Win72.7%

Both Halves Over 0.568.9%

Goal in Both Halves68.9%

Draw or Away (X2)27.2%

Draw15.7%

Draw No Bet - Away13.7%

Away Win11.5%

Exactly 1 Goal10.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals87.1%

Under 5.5 Goals84.8%

Under 4.5 Goals71.1%

Over 2.5 Goals69.2%

2-4 Goals58.2%

Under 3.5 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.1%

Over 3.5 Goals47.9%

4+ Goals47.9%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.2%

Under 2.5 Goals30.8%

Over 4.5 Goals28.9%

1-2 Goals27.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.8%

Over 5.5 Goals15.2%

Under 1.5 Goals12.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.6%

Away Team to Score61.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.8%

Home Clean Sheet38.2%

Home Win to Nil35.4%

Away Clean Sheet7.3%

Away Win to Nil4.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.6%

Home Over 1.573.5%

Away Over 0.561.7%

Home Over 2.548.5%

Home 3+ Goals48.5%

Away Exactly 038.2%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Over 1.525.0%

Home Exactly 225.0%

Home Exactly 119.1%

Away Exactly 217.7%

Away Over 2.57.3%

Home Exactly 07.3%

Away 3+ Goals7.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)72.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)51.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home51.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.8%

Home to win by 3+30.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)27.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away27.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.3%

Home to win by 121.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 220.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.8%

Away to win by 17.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.8%

Away to win by 22.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.555.8%

BTTS & Over 2.550.2%

Home & BTTS37.3%

Home & No BTTS35.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.1%

Home & Under 2.516.8%

Draw & BTTS12.9%

Draw & Under 2.59.8%

Away & Over 2.57.6%

Away & BTTS7.0%

BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Draw & Over 2.55.9%

Away & No BTTS4.5%

Away & Under 2.54.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.0%

HT Home Win54.9%

HT Under 1.552.1%

HT/FT Home/Home50.3%

HT Over 1.547.9%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw31.5%

HT Both Teams Score24.3%

Equal Goals Each Half21.7%

HT Under 0.520.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.8%

HT Away Win13.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.4%

HT/FT Away/Away6.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

Corners (12)

Away Over 4.5 Corners73.7%

Away Most Corners70.9%

Under 11.5 Corners68.7%

Over 8.5 Corners67.6%

Under 10.5 Corners57.3%

Over 9.5 Corners55.2%

Under 9.5 Corners44.8%

Over 10.5 Corners42.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners35.5%

Under 8.5 Corners32.4%

Over 11.5 Corners31.3%

Home Most Corners19.1%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards87.9%

Over 3.5 Cards74.1%

Under 5.5 Cards60.9%

Over 4.5 Cards56.7%

Under 4.5 Cards43.3%

Over 5.5 Cards39.1%

Under 3.5 Cards25.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards20.2%

Under 2.5 Cards12.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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