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USA · Major League Soccer

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers

● LIVE 62' · 1:0
📊 Our Prediction
HT Over 0.5
59% confidence
FC Dallas 26.6% Draw 14.0% Portland Timbers 59.4%
Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 3.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
95%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
95%
Home or Away (12)
Double chance from Poisson
86%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Portland Timbers win at 59.4%.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to FC Dallas: 13 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.67 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5
FC Dallas win
26.6%
1X2 model probability
Draw
14%
1X2 model probability
Portland Timbers win
59.4%
1X2 model probability
FC Dallas
W W D L W W
Form 4-1-1 Goals 15:16 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 2.67
Portland Timbers
D W L D W L
Form 2-2-2 Goals 13:12 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 2
Head to head · last 1
FC Dallas 0wins ·1 draws ·Portland Timbers 0wins
FC Dallas 2-2 Portland TimbersJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Dallas win26.6%
Draw14.0%
Portland Timbers win59.4%
Over 1.5 goals99.7%
Over 2.5 goals98.2%
Over 3.5 goals94.7%
Both teams to score95.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)
91.8%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)
91.8%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away
91.8%
Match Result (11)
Both Halves Over 0.595.5%
Goal in Both Halves95.5%
Home or Away (12)82.2%
Draw or Away (X2)69.9%
Draw No Bet - Away69.0%
Away Win56.7%
Home or Draw (1X)38.7%
Draw No Bet - Home31.0%
Home Win25.5%
Draw13.2%
Exactly 1 Goal0.3%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals95.3%
Over 1.5 Goals95.0%
Over 2.5 Goals93.7%
Over 3.5 Goals90.3%
4+ Goals90.3%
Over 4.5 Goals83.8%
Over 5.5 Goals73.7%
Total Goals Odd47.7%
Total Goals Even47.7%
Under 5.5 Goals26.3%
Under 4.5 Goals16.2%
2-4 Goals11.2%
3-4 Goals9.9%
Under 3.5 Goals9.7%
Under 2.5 Goals6.3%
Under 1.5 Goals5.0%
1-3 Goals5.0%
Under 0.5 Goals4.7%
2-3 Goals4.7%
Exactly 3 Goals3.4%
1-2 Goals1.6%
Exactly 2 Goals1.3%
Exactly 0 Goals0.0%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score94.3%
Home Team to Score91.6%
Both Teams Score (GG)90.5%
No Both Teams Score (NG)9.5%
Away Clean Sheet3.8%
Away Win to Nil3.7%
Home Clean Sheet1.1%
Home Win to Nil1.1%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.594.3%
Home Over 0.591.6%
Away Over 1.589.3%
Home Over 1.579.4%
Away Over 2.578.1%
Away 3+ Goals78.1%
Home Over 2.559.6%
Home 3+ Goals59.6%
Home Exactly 219.8%
Home Exactly 112.2%
Away Exactly 211.2%
Away Exactly 15.0%
Home Exactly 03.8%
Away Exactly 01.1%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.9%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.0%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.8%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)91.8%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.8%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.5%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.5%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)86.8%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home86.8%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.4%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)78.5%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home78.5%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)69.9%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away69.9%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)67.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home67.1%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)56.7%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)53.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home53.2%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)42.2%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away42.2%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)38.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home38.7%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)28.3%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away28.3%
Away to win by 3+28.3%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)25.5%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)16.9%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away16.9%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)15.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home15.0%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.5%
Away to win by 114.5%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.8%
Away to win by 213.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.5%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.4%
Home to win by 110.4%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.6%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.6%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.2%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.9%
Home to win by 3+7.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.2%
Home to win by 27.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.3%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.6%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.6%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.2%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.589.9%
Away & Over 2.556.1%
Away & BTTS53.0%
Home & Over 2.525.1%
Home & BTTS24.4%
Draw & BTTS13.2%
Draw & Over 2.512.6%
No BTTS & Over 2.53.8%
Away & No BTTS3.7%
Home & No BTTS1.1%
No BTTS & Under 2.51.1%
Draw & Under 2.50.7%
Away & Under 2.50.6%
BTTS & Under 2.50.6%
Home & Under 2.50.4%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.596.9%
HT Over 1.586.2%
HT Both Teams Score66.5%
2nd Half More Goals53.6%
HT Away Win50.8%
HT/FT Away/Away42.3%
1st Half More Goals32.1%
HT Home Win27.7%
HT Draw21.5%
HT/FT Home/Home16.2%
Equal Goals Each Half14.1%
HT Under 1.513.8%
HT/FT Draw/Away11.4%
HT/FT Home/Away6.9%
HT/FT Draw/Home5.9%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%
HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%
HT/FT Away/Home3.9%
HT Under 0.53.1%
Corners (12)
Away Over 4.5 Corners79.4%
Over 8.5 Corners75.3%
Away Most Corners72.9%
Over 9.5 Corners64.1%
Under 11.5 Corners59.9%
Over 10.5 Corners52.0%
Under 10.5 Corners48.0%
Home Over 4.5 Corners40.4%
Over 11.5 Corners40.1%
Under 9.5 Corners35.9%
Under 8.5 Corners24.7%
Home Most Corners17.9%
Cards (9)
Over 2.5 Cards81.7%
Under 5.5 Cards71.7%
Over 3.5 Cards64.3%
Under 4.5 Cards54.8%
Over 4.5 Cards45.2%
Under 3.5 Cards35.7%
Over 5.5 Cards28.3%
Under 2.5 Cards18.3%
Over 0.5 Red Cards17.7%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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