Mexico · Liga MX

FC Juarez vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

● LIVE 90' · 1:5

📊 Our Prediction

Away Win

61% confidence

FC Juarez 8.0% Draw 31.0% U.N.A.M. - Pumas 61.0%

Over 2.5 - 21% BTTS - 20%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

Strong away form

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 35%

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 2.5 Goals

FC Juarez struggles

80%

No Both Teams Score

FC Juarez scoring issues

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

FC Juarez has struggled to score, with 0 goals in their last 2 matches. U.N.A.M. - Pumas has a stronger pi-rating and recent form. With Keylor Navas in goal, U.N.A.M. - Pumas has a solid defensive foundation. Uriel Antuna is a key player for U.N.A.M. - Pumas, and his presence boosts their attack. FC Juarez's lack of scoring threat makes Under 2.5 Goals a viable option. N.A.M. - Pumas is likely to win, given their superior form and FC Juarez's scoring struggles.

💡

Top Tip

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 25.8%, based on the goal model.

Strong away form

Numbers behind this Away Win

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

25.8%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

35%

Market does not fully agree

FC Juarez

L L

Form 0-0-2 Goals 0:2 Scored/game 0 Conceded/game 1

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

W L L D W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 4:7 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Juarez win8.0%

Draw31.0%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas win61.0%

Over 1.5 goals46.9%

Over 2.5 goals21.0%

Over 3.5 goals7.2%

Both teams to score20.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

91.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

91.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)91.2%

Draw No Bet - Away87.4%

Home or Away (12)70.0%

Away Win61.2%

Home or Draw (1X)38.8%

Exactly 1 Goal32.9%

Draw30.0%

Both Halves Over 0.528.8%

Goal in Both Halves28.8%

Draw No Bet - Home12.6%

Home Win8.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.5%

Under 4.5 Goals97.9%

Under 3.5 Goals92.8%

Under 2.5 Goals79.6%

Over 0.5 Goals78.8%

1-3 Goals71.6%

1-2 Goals58.4%

Under 1.5 Goals54.1%

Total Goals Even52.3%

Total Goals Odd47.7%

Over 1.5 Goals45.9%

2-4 Goals43.8%

2-3 Goals38.7%

Exactly 2 Goals25.5%

Under 0.5 Goals21.2%

Exactly 0 Goals21.2%

Over 2.5 Goals20.4%

3-4 Goals18.3%

Exactly 3 Goals13.2%

Over 3.5 Goals7.2%

4+ Goals7.2%

Over 4.5 Goals2.1%

Over 5.5 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)81.5%

Away Clean Sheet74.1%

Away Team to Score71.3%

Away Win to Nil52.9%

Home Clean Sheet28.7%

Home Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)18.5%

Home Win to Nil7.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 074.1%

Away Over 0.571.3%

Away Exactly 135.8%

Away Over 1.535.5%

Away Exactly 028.7%

Home Over 0.525.9%

Away Exactly 222.4%

Home Exactly 122.2%

Away Over 2.513.2%

Away 3+ Goals13.2%

Home Over 1.53.7%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away91.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)70.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home70.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)61.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)38.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home38.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw31.8%

Away to win by 131.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away29.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.8%

Away to win by 218.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.6%

Away to win by 3+10.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.6%

Home to win by 17.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.1%

Home to win by 21.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.571.7%

Away & No BTTS52.9%

Away & Under 2.543.1%

Draw & Under 2.529.2%

Away & Over 2.518.1%

BTTS & Over 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.8%

Draw & BTTS8.7%

Away & BTTS8.3%

BTTS & Under 2.58.0%

Home & No BTTS7.4%

Home & Under 2.57.3%

Home & Over 2.51.5%

Home & BTTS1.4%

Draw & Over 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.584.5%

HT Draw53.6%

HT Over 0.550.2%

HT Under 0.549.8%

HT Away Win38.9%

2nd Half More Goals36.6%

HT/FT Away/Away36.5%

Equal Goals Each Half35.9%

1st Half More Goals27.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw25.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away23.8%

HT Over 1.515.5%

HT Home Win7.5%

HT Both Teams Score5.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.3%

HT/FT Home/Home4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

HT/FT Away/Home0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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