Russia · Premier League

FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat

Kick-off 18:45 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

FC Krasnodar 60.4% Draw 25.1% Akhmat 14.5%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 5.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 13.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to FC Krasnodar: 15 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.2%

Exact-score model probability

FC Krasnodar

W W W W L W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

Akhmat

D L D D D W

Form 1-4-1 Goals 6:5 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Krasnodar win60.4%

Draw25.1%

Akhmat win14.5%

Over 1.5 goals75.1%

Over 2.5 goals48.8%

Over 3.5 goals27.0%

Both teams to score47.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

87.4%

Home or Draw (1X)

84.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

84.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.1%

Draw No Bet - Home79.5%

Home or Away (12)77.6%

Home Win61.7%

Both Halves Over 0.553.0%

Goal in Both Halves53.0%

Draw or Away (X2)38.3%

Draw22.3%

Draw No Bet - Away20.5%

Exactly 1 Goal19.0%

Away Win15.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.9%

Over 0.5 Goals92.8%

Under 4.5 Goals87.4%

Over 1.5 Goals73.8%

Under 3.5 Goals73.0%

1-3 Goals65.8%

2-4 Goals61.1%

Under 2.5 Goals51.2%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.8%

2-3 Goals46.8%

1-2 Goals43.9%

3-4 Goals36.2%

Over 3.5 Goals27.0%

4+ Goals27.0%

Under 1.5 Goals26.2%

Exactly 2 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals12.6%

Under 0.5 Goals7.2%

Exactly 0 Goals7.2%

Over 5.5 Goals5.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.9%

Away Team to Score55.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.2%

Home Clean Sheet44.9%

Home Win to Nil37.7%

Away Clean Sheet16.1%

Away Win to Nil8.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.9%

Away Over 0.555.1%

Home Over 1.554.5%

Away Exactly 044.9%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Home Exactly 129.4%

Home Over 2.527.6%

Home 3+ Goals27.6%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Over 1.519.1%

Home Exactly 016.1%

Away Exactly 214.4%

Away Over 2.54.7%

Away 3+ Goals4.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away63.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home36.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.5%

Home to win by 125.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.1%

Home to win by 219.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.1%

Home to win by 3+17.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.2%

Away to win by 111.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.7%

Away to win by 23.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.540.6%

Home & No BTTS37.7%

Home & Over 2.536.5%

BTTS & Over 2.535.6%

Home & Under 2.525.3%

Home & BTTS24.0%

Draw & Under 2.517.8%

Draw & BTTS15.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.2%

BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

Away & No BTTS8.9%

Away & Under 2.58.1%

Away & Over 2.57.8%

Away & BTTS7.1%

Draw & Over 2.54.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.3%

HT Under 1.566.9%

HT Home Win44.3%

2nd Half More Goals43.1%

HT Draw40.4%

HT/FT Home/Home39.4%

HT Over 1.533.1%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Under 0.530.7%

Equal Goals Each Half26.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.8%

HT Both Teams Score16.9%

HT Away Win15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.2%

HT/FT Away/Away8.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners83.4%

Under 10.5 Corners74.5%

Under 9.5 Corners63.1%

Home Most Corners61.0%

Home Over 4.5 Corners56.0%

Over 8.5 Corners50.0%

Under 8.5 Corners50.0%

Over 9.5 Corners36.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners30.6%

Away Most Corners26.5%

Over 10.5 Corners25.5%

Over 11.5 Corners16.6%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards81.1%

Over 2.5 Cards73.6%

Under 4.5 Cards66.1%

Over 3.5 Cards53.3%

Under 3.5 Cards46.7%

Over 4.5 Cards33.9%

Under 2.5 Cards26.4%

Over 5.5 Cards18.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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