Russia · Premier League

FC Krasnodar vs Baltika

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

FC Krasnodar 68.8% Draw 19.9% Baltika 11.3%

Over 2.5 - 61% BTTS - 53%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

84%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 11.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to FC Krasnodar: 15 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.2%

Exact-score model probability

FC Krasnodar

W W W W W L

Form 5-0-1 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

Baltika

L W L W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Krasnodar win68.8%

Draw19.9%

Baltika win11.3%

Over 1.5 goals83.6%

Over 2.5 goals61.4%

Over 3.5 goals39.1%

Both teams to score53.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.0%

Home Over 0.5

90.0%

Under 5.5 Goals

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.6%

Draw No Bet - Home84.9%

Home or Away (12)82.2%

Home Win69.8%

Both Halves Over 0.562.7%

Goal in Both Halves62.7%

Draw or Away (X2)30.1%

Draw17.7%

Draw No Bet - Away15.1%

Exactly 1 Goal13.3%

Away Win12.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Under 5.5 Goals89.9%

Over 1.5 Goals82.4%

Under 4.5 Goals78.6%

Over 2.5 Goals61.3%

2-4 Goals61.1%

Under 3.5 Goals61.0%

1-3 Goals56.7%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.4%

3-4 Goals40.0%

Over 3.5 Goals39.0%

4+ Goals39.0%

Under 2.5 Goals38.7%

1-2 Goals34.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.1%

Under 1.5 Goals17.6%

Over 5.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals4.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.0%

Away Team to Score57.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.0%

Home Clean Sheet42.2%

Home Win to Nil38.0%

Away Clean Sheet9.9%

Away Win to Nil5.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.0%

Home Over 1.567.1%

Away Over 0.557.7%

Away Exactly 042.2%

Home Over 2.540.6%

Home 3+ Goals40.6%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 122.9%

Away Over 1.521.3%

Away Exactly 215.7%

Home Exactly 09.9%

Away Over 2.55.7%

Away 3+ Goals5.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)74.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away74.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)26.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home26.0%

Home to win by 3+26.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.1%

Home to win by 123.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.7%

Home to win by 220.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.6%

Away to win by 18.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.9%

Away to win by 22.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.548.9%

BTTS & Over 2.543.6%

Home & No BTTS38.0%

Home & BTTS31.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.3%

Home & Under 2.520.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.7%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

Draw & Under 2.512.5%

BTTS & Under 2.58.3%

Away & Over 2.57.2%

Away & BTTS6.7%

Away & No BTTS5.7%

Draw & Over 2.55.2%

Away & Under 2.55.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.0%

HT Under 1.558.3%

HT Home Win51.7%

HT/FT Home/Home47.0%

2nd Half More Goals45.2%

HT Over 1.541.7%

HT Draw34.7%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Under 0.524.0%

Equal Goals Each Half23.2%

HT Both Teams Score20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.6%

HT Away Win13.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.3%

HT/FT Away/Away6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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