Russia · Premier League

FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

FC Krasnodar 68.2% Draw 18.8% CSKA Moscow 13.0%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Krasnodar: 15 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.4%

Exact-score model probability

FC Krasnodar

W W W W W L

Form 5-0-1 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

CSKA Moscow

W D D W W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 9:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Krasnodar win68.2%

Draw18.8%

CSKA Moscow win13.0%

Over 1.5 goals88.3%

Over 2.5 goals69.5%

Over 3.5 goals48.2%

Both teams to score61.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.9%

Home Over 0.5

91.9%

Over 1.5 Goals

87.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.0%

Draw No Bet - Home83.3%

Home or Away (12)83.0%

Home Win69.1%

Both Halves Over 0.569.0%

Goal in Both Halves69.0%

Draw or Away (X2)30.8%

Draw16.9%

Draw No Bet - Away16.7%

Away Win13.9%

Exactly 1 Goal9.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals87.2%

Under 5.5 Goals84.7%

Under 4.5 Goals70.9%

Over 2.5 Goals69.4%

2-4 Goals58.2%

Under 3.5 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.0%

Over 3.5 Goals48.2%

4+ Goals48.2%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.1%

Under 2.5 Goals30.6%

Over 4.5 Goals29.1%

1-2 Goals27.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.8%

Over 5.5 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals12.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.9%

Away Team to Score65.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.9%

Home Clean Sheet34.6%

Home Win to Nil31.8%

Away Clean Sheet8.0%

Away Win to Nil5.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.9%

Home Over 1.571.8%

Away Over 0.565.3%

Home Over 2.546.3%

Home 3+ Goals46.3%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 034.6%

Away Over 1.528.6%

Home Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 120.2%

Away Exactly 219.5%

Away Over 2.59.2%

Away 3+ Goals9.2%

Home Exactly 08.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.6%

Home to win by 3+27.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.6%

Home to win by 121.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 219.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.1%

Away to win by 19.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.5%

Away to win by 23.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.553.3%

BTTS & Over 2.552.7%

Home & BTTS37.3%

Home & No BTTS31.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.7%

Home & Under 2.515.8%

Draw & BTTS14.1%

Draw & Under 2.510.2%

Away & Over 2.59.4%

Away & BTTS8.7%

BTTS & Under 2.57.4%

Draw & Over 2.56.7%

Away & No BTTS5.2%

Away & Under 2.54.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.1%

HT Home Win52.3%

HT Under 1.552.0%

HT Over 1.548.0%

HT/FT Home/Home47.1%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

HT Draw32.2%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score25.8%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Under 0.519.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.3%

HT Away Win15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.9%

HT/FT Away/Away7.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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