Russia · Premier League

FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov

Kick-off 15:30 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

FC Krasnodar 69.9% Draw 16.4% FC Rostov 13.7%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 71%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Krasnodar: 15 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.9%

Exact-score model probability

FC Krasnodar

W W W W W L

Form 5-0-1 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

FC Rostov

D D W L L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Krasnodar win69.9%

Draw16.4%

FC Rostov win13.7%

Over 1.5 goals93.6%

Over 2.5 goals80.5%

Over 3.5 goals62.5%

Both teams to score70.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.4%

HT Over 0.5

85.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.3%

Home or Away (12)84.7%

Draw No Bet - Home83.1%

Both Halves Over 0.577.7%

Goal in Both Halves77.7%

Home Win70.4%

Draw or Away (X2)29.3%

Draw No Bet - Away16.9%

Draw15.0%

Away Win14.3%

Exactly 1 Goal5.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals92.6%

Over 2.5 Goals80.2%

Under 5.5 Goals73.7%

Over 3.5 Goals62.3%

4+ Goals62.3%

Under 4.5 Goals57.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

2-4 Goals49.6%

Over 4.5 Goals43.0%

Under 3.5 Goals37.7%

3-4 Goals37.2%

1-3 Goals36.0%

2-3 Goals30.3%

Over 5.5 Goals26.3%

Under 2.5 Goals19.8%

1-2 Goals18.1%

Exactly 3 Goals17.9%

Exactly 2 Goals12.4%

Under 1.5 Goals7.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.6%

Away Team to Score73.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.2%

Home Clean Sheet26.1%

Home Win to Nil24.8%

Away Clean Sheet5.1%

Away Win to Nil3.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.6%

Home Over 1.579.5%

Away Over 0.573.5%

Home Over 2.556.9%

Home 3+ Goals56.9%

Away Over 1.538.5%

Away Exactly 135.0%

Away Exactly 026.1%

Away Exactly 223.4%

Home Exactly 222.5%

Away Over 2.515.1%

Home Exactly 115.1%

Away 3+ Goals15.1%

Home Exactly 05.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)51.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home51.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.2%

Home to win by 3+32.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 119.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.9%

Home to win by 218.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.7%

Away to win by 18.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.8%

Away to win by 23.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.8%

Away to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.564.5%

Home & Over 2.560.5%

Home & BTTS45.6%

Home & No BTTS24.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.2%

Draw & BTTS13.6%

Away & Over 2.511.3%

Away & BTTS10.6%

Home & Under 2.59.9%

Draw & Over 2.58.3%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.3%

Away & No BTTS3.7%

Away & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.7%

HT Over 1.557.9%

HT Home Win54.9%

HT/FT Home/Home49.3%

2nd Half More Goals48.3%

HT Under 1.542.1%

HT Both Teams Score33.4%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.4%

Equal Goals Each Half19.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.8%

HT Away Win16.7%

HT Under 0.514.3%

HT/FT Away/Away8.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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