Russia · Premier League

FC Krasnodar vs Zenit

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

FC Krasnodar 14.6% Draw 22.7% Zenit 62.7%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

82%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 10.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.7%

Exact-score model probability

FC Krasnodar

W W W W W L

Form 5-0-1 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

Zenit

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 15:3 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Krasnodar win14.6%

Draw22.7%

Zenit win62.7%

Over 1.5 goals81.5%

Over 2.5 goals57.9%

Over 3.5 goals35.5%

Both teams to score54.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)84.1%

Draw No Bet - Away80.1%

Home or Away (12)79.8%

Away Win64.0%

Both Halves Over 0.560.0%

Goal in Both Halves60.0%

Home or Draw (1X)36.0%

Draw20.2%

Draw No Bet - Home19.9%

Home Win15.8%

Exactly 1 Goal14.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.0%

Under 5.5 Goals91.5%

Under 4.5 Goals81.4%

Over 1.5 Goals80.2%

Under 3.5 Goals64.5%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.6%

Over 2.5 Goals57.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.7%

Under 2.5 Goals42.1%

3-4 Goals39.3%

1-2 Goals37.2%

Over 3.5 Goals35.5%

4+ Goals35.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.3%

Under 1.5 Goals19.8%

Over 4.5 Goals18.6%

Over 5.5 Goals8.5%

Under 0.5 Goals5.0%

Exactly 0 Goals4.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score87.5%

Home Team to Score60.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)47.1%

Away Clean Sheet39.5%

Away Win to Nil34.6%

Home Clean Sheet12.5%

Home Win to Nil7.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.587.5%

Away Over 1.561.5%

Home Over 0.560.4%

Home Exactly 039.5%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Away Over 2.534.5%

Away 3+ Goals34.5%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 126.0%

Home Over 1.523.8%

Home Exactly 217.0%

Away Exactly 012.5%

Home Over 2.56.8%

Home 3+ Goals6.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away84.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)64.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)59.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home59.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)40.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away40.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)36.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home36.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.9%

Away to win by 123.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.6%

Away to win by 3+20.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.5%

Away to win by 219.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.7%

Home to win by 110.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.9%

Home to win by 23.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.3%

Home to win by 3+1.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.543.4%

Away & Over 2.543.0%

Away & No BTTS34.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.6%

Away & BTTS29.4%

Away & Under 2.520.9%

Draw & BTTS15.2%

Draw & Under 2.514.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.5%

BTTS & Under 2.59.5%

Home & Over 2.59.1%

Home & BTTS8.3%

Home & No BTTS7.5%

Home & Under 2.56.7%

Draw & Over 2.55.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.2%

HT Under 1.560.8%

HT Away Win47.1%

2nd Half More Goals44.6%

HT/FT Away/Away41.8%

HT Over 1.539.2%

HT Draw36.9%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.525.8%

Equal Goals Each Half24.0%

HT Both Teams Score20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.0%

HT Home Win16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.8%

HT/FT Home/Home8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners69.7%

Over 8.5 Corners66.7%

Under 10.5 Corners58.3%

Home Over 4.5 Corners56.0%

Away Over 4.5 Corners56.0%

Over 9.5 Corners54.2%

Under 9.5 Corners45.8%

Home Most Corners43.6%

Away Most Corners43.6%

Over 10.5 Corners41.7%

Under 8.5 Corners33.3%

Over 11.5 Corners30.3%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards78.5%

Over 2.5 Cards76.2%

Under 4.5 Cards62.9%

Over 3.5 Cards56.7%

Under 3.5 Cards43.3%

Over 4.5 Cards37.1%

Under 2.5 Cards23.8%

Over 5.5 Cards21.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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