UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

FC Midtjylland 9.4% Draw 32.4% HNK Rijeka 58.2%

Over 2.5 - 22% BTTS - 23%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 25%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to HNK Rijeka: 6 points versus 10 across the last 4 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

25%

Exact-score model probability

FC Midtjylland

W W L L

Form 2-0-2 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 1.25

HNK Rijeka

D W W W

Form 3-1-0 Goals 4:1 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.25

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Midtjylland win9.4%

Draw32.4%

HNK Rijeka win58.2%

Over 1.5 goals49.0%

Over 2.5 goals21.9%

Over 3.5 goals8.0%

Both teams to score22.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 3.5 Goals

92.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)89.4%

Draw No Bet - Away84.8%

Home or Away (12)70.0%

Away Win59.4%

Home or Draw (1X)40.6%

Exactly 1 Goal32.2%

Both Halves Over 0.530.3%

Goal in Both Halves30.3%

Draw30.0%

Draw No Bet - Home15.2%

Home Win10.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.4%

Under 4.5 Goals97.6%

Under 3.5 Goals92.0%

Over 0.5 Goals80.0%

Under 2.5 Goals78.1%

1-3 Goals72.0%

1-2 Goals58.1%

Under 1.5 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Even52.0%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Over 1.5 Goals47.8%

2-4 Goals45.4%

2-3 Goals39.8%

Exactly 2 Goals25.9%

Over 2.5 Goals21.9%

Under 0.5 Goals20.0%

Exactly 0 Goals20.0%

3-4 Goals19.5%

Exactly 3 Goals13.9%

Over 3.5 Goals8.0%

4+ Goals8.0%

Over 4.5 Goals2.4%

Over 5.5 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)78.5%

Away Team to Score71.3%

Away Clean Sheet69.8%

Away Win to Nil49.8%

Home Team to Score30.2%

Home Clean Sheet28.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)21.5%

Home Win to Nil8.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.571.3%

Home Exactly 069.8%

Away Exactly 135.8%

Away Over 1.535.5%

Home Over 0.530.2%

Away Exactly 028.7%

Home Exactly 125.1%

Away Exactly 222.4%

Away Over 2.513.2%

Away 3+ Goals13.2%

Home Over 1.55.1%

Home Exactly 24.5%

Home Over 2.50.6%

Home 3+ Goals0.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away89.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)71.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home71.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)59.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)40.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home40.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw31.1%

Away to win by 131.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)28.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away28.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.1%

Away to win by 218.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)10.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.2%

Away to win by 3+10.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.9%

Home to win by 18.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.5%

Home to win by 21.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 3+0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.569.1%

Away & No BTTS49.8%

Away & Under 2.540.6%

Draw & Under 2.529.0%

Away & Over 2.518.7%

BTTS & Over 2.512.5%

Draw & BTTS10.0%

Away & BTTS9.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

BTTS & Under 2.59.0%

Home & No BTTS8.6%

Home & Under 2.58.5%

Home & Over 2.52.1%

Home & BTTS2.0%

Draw & Over 2.51.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.583.6%

HT Draw53.0%

HT Over 0.551.5%

HT Under 0.548.5%

HT Away Win38.1%

2nd Half More Goals37.1%

HT/FT Away/Away35.3%

Equal Goals Each Half35.0%

1st Half More Goals27.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw24.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away23.0%

HT Over 1.516.4%

HT Home Win8.9%

HT Both Teams Score6.4%

HT/FT Home/Home5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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