UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Noah vs Zimbru

Kick-off 17:00 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

38% confidence

FC Noah 38.0% Draw 32.0% Zimbru 30.0%

Over 2.5 - 50% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

High xG values

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

Recent BTTS trend

80%

Home or Draw (1X)

FC Noah home form

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

FC Noah and Zimbru have a recent draw, indicating a close match. FC Noah's home form is decent, but Zimbru can score. With expected goals at 1.15 for FC Noah and 1 for Zimbru, both teams scoring is likely. The Poisson model suggests a 64% chance of over 1.5 goals. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the teams' scoring trends.

💡

Top Tip

Over 1

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 65% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High xG values

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

65%

Chance of 2+ total goals

FC Noah high-scoring games

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Zimbru high-scoring games

Recent matches with 3+ goals

FC Noah

Form 0-1-0 Goals 1:1 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Zimbru

Form 0-1-0 Goals 1:1 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

FC Noah 0wins ·1 draws ·Zimbru 0wins

FC Noah 1-1 ZimbruJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Noah win38.0%

Draw32.0%

Zimbru win30.0%

Over 1.5 goals65.0%

Over 2.5 goals50.2%

Over 3.5 goals17.1%

Both teams to score54.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

88.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)70.6%

Home or Draw (1X)68.5%

Draw or Away (X2)60.9%

Draw No Bet - Home55.4%

Draw No Bet - Away44.6%

Both Halves Over 0.543.0%

Goal in Both Halves43.0%

Home Win39.1%

Away Win31.5%

Draw29.4%

Exactly 1 Goal25.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.7%

Under 4.5 Goals93.3%

Over 0.5 Goals88.4%

Under 3.5 Goals82.9%

1-3 Goals71.3%

Under 2.5 Goals63.6%

Over 1.5 Goals63.3%

2-4 Goals56.6%

1-2 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Even50.7%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

2-3 Goals46.2%

Under 1.5 Goals36.7%

Over 2.5 Goals36.4%

3-4 Goals29.7%

Exactly 2 Goals26.9%

Exactly 3 Goals19.3%

Over 3.5 Goals17.1%

4+ Goals17.1%

Under 0.5 Goals11.6%

Exactly 0 Goals11.6%

Over 4.5 Goals6.7%

Over 5.5 Goals2.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score68.3%

Away Team to Score63.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)56.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.2%

Home Clean Sheet36.8%

Away Clean Sheet31.7%

Home Win to Nil25.1%

Away Win to Nil20.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.568.3%

Away Over 0.563.2%

Away Exactly 036.8%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 136.4%

Home Over 1.531.9%

Home Exactly 031.7%

Away Over 1.526.4%

Home Exactly 220.9%

Away Exactly 218.4%

Home Over 2.511.0%

Home 3+ Goals11.0%

Away Over 2.58.0%

Away 3+ Goals8.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.7%

Home to win by 122.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.8%

Away to win by 119.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.1%

Home to win by 211.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.4%

Away to win by 28.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.3%

Home to win by 3+5.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.3%

Away to win by 3+3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.550.2%

BTTS & Over 2.529.8%

Home & No BTTS25.1%

Draw & Under 2.525.0%

Home & Under 2.521.1%

Away & No BTTS20.0%

Home & Over 2.518.0%

Draw & BTTS17.8%

Away & Under 2.517.5%

Away & Over 2.514.0%

Home & BTTS14.0%

BTTS & Under 2.513.4%

Away & BTTS11.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.6%

Draw & Over 2.54.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.574.8%

HT Over 0.562.0%

HT Draw47.4%

2nd Half More Goals40.8%

HT Under 0.538.0%

1st Half More Goals29.9%

Equal Goals Each Half29.3%

HT Home Win28.6%

HT Over 1.525.2%

HT Away Win24.0%

HT/FT Home/Home22.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw20.0%

HT/FT Away/Away17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.9%

HT Both Teams Score14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

FC Noah win33%

Draw33%

Zimbru win33%

AdviceNo predictions available

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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