UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

94% confidence

FC Nordsjaelland 94.1% Draw 4.5% FC ST. Gallen 1.4%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 10.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.75 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.2%

Exact-score model probability

FC Nordsjaelland

W W W L

Form 3-0-1 Goals 13:1 Scored/game 3.25 Conceded/game 0.25

FC ST. Gallen

W W L W

Form 3-0-1 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Nordsjaelland win94.1%

Draw4.5%

FC ST. Gallen win1.4%

Over 1.5 goals96.4%

Over 2.5 goals88.1%

Over 3.5 goals74.2%

Both teams to score46.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Win

90.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

HT Over 0.5

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home98.3%

Home or Draw (1X)94.4%

Home or Away (12)92.1%

Home Win90.6%

Both Halves Over 0.584.7%

Goal in Both Halves84.7%

Draw or Away (X2)5.4%

Draw3.9%

Exactly 1 Goal3.0%

Draw No Bet - Away1.7%

Away Win1.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Over 1.5 Goals92.3%

Over 2.5 Goals84.5%

Over 3.5 Goals71.2%

4+ Goals71.2%

Under 5.5 Goals63.4%

Over 4.5 Goals54.1%

Total Goals Even48.2%

Total Goals Odd47.8%

Under 4.5 Goals45.9%

2-4 Goals38.2%

Over 5.5 Goals36.6%

3-4 Goals30.4%

Under 3.5 Goals28.8%

1-3 Goals24.2%

2-3 Goals21.1%

Under 2.5 Goals15.5%

Exactly 3 Goals13.3%

1-2 Goals10.9%

Exactly 2 Goals7.8%

Under 1.5 Goals7.7%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)55.9%

Home Clean Sheet51.4%

Home Win to Nil50.8%

Away Team to Score44.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)44.1%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Exactly 051.4%

Away Over 0.544.6%

Away Exactly 132.1%

Away Over 1.512.5%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 210.0%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Away Over 2.52.5%

Away 3+ Goals2.5%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)90.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home81.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)77.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home67.8%

Home to win by 3+67.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)63.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away63.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)50.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home50.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)45.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away45.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)32.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home32.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)28.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away28.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home18.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw14.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)14.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away14.1%

Home to win by 214.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.7%

Home to win by 18.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away5.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw1.2%

Away to win by 11.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 20.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.581.9%

Home & No BTTS50.8%

BTTS & Over 2.542.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.542.1%

Home & BTTS39.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.8%

Home & Under 2.58.7%

Draw & BTTS3.3%

Draw & Under 2.52.3%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Draw & Over 2.51.6%

Away & Over 2.51.0%

Away & BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

Away & No BTTS0.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.0%

HT Home Win79.3%

HT/FT Home/Home78.1%

HT Over 1.567.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.8%

HT Under 1.533.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score21.3%

Equal Goals Each Half17.7%

HT Draw16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.9%

HT Under 0.510.0%

HT Away Win4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.9%

HT/FT Away/Away0.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners93.9%

Under 10.5 Corners88.9%

Under 9.5 Corners81.3%

Under 8.5 Corners70.7%

Home Most Corners49.8%

Away Most Corners35.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners33.9%

Over 8.5 Corners29.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners24.4%

Over 9.5 Corners18.7%

Over 10.5 Corners11.1%

Over 11.5 Corners6.1%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards93.2%

Under 4.5 Cards84.2%

Under 3.5 Cards68.5%

Over 2.5 Cards53.8%

Under 2.5 Cards46.2%

Over 3.5 Cards31.5%

Over 4.5 Cards15.8%

Over 0.5 Red Cards11.3%

Over 5.5 Cards6.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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