Russia · Premier League

FC Orenburg vs Akron

Kick-off 12:00 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

FC Orenburg 44.6% Draw 23.9% Akron 31.5%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 71%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Orenburg: 6 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

FC Orenburg

D D D L W L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:10 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.67

Akron

D D D L L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:11 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Orenburg win44.6%

Draw23.9%

Akron win31.5%

Over 1.5 goals88.7%

Over 2.5 goals70.0%

Over 3.5 goals48.8%

Both teams to score70.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

88.0%

Over 1.5 Goals

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.4%

Both Halves Over 0.569.4%

Goal in Both Halves69.4%

Home or Draw (1X)67.4%

Draw No Bet - Home58.4%

Draw or Away (X2)54.2%

Home Win45.8%

Draw No Bet - Away41.6%

Away Win32.6%

Draw21.6%

Exactly 1 Goal9.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals87.6%

Under 5.5 Goals84.2%

Under 4.5 Goals70.3%

Over 2.5 Goals70.0%

2-4 Goals57.9%

Under 3.5 Goals51.2%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Over 3.5 Goals48.8%

4+ Goals48.8%

1-3 Goals48.5%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.8%

Under 2.5 Goals30.0%

Over 4.5 Goals29.7%

1-2 Goals27.3%

Exactly 3 Goals21.2%

Exactly 2 Goals17.6%

Over 5.5 Goals15.8%

Under 1.5 Goals12.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.1%

Away Team to Score80.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.6%

Home Clean Sheet19.3%

Home Win to Nil16.6%

Away Clean Sheet13.9%

Away Win to Nil11.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.1%

Away Over 0.580.7%

Home Over 1.558.6%

Away Over 1.548.9%

Away Exactly 131.7%

Home Over 2.531.6%

Home 3+ Goals31.6%

Home Exactly 127.4%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Away Over 2.522.8%

Away 3+ Goals22.8%

Away Exactly 019.3%

Home Exactly 013.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)54.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away54.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)45.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 120.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.7%

Away to win by 116.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.7%

Home to win by 213.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.0%

Home to win by 3+12.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.6%

Away to win by 29.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.4%

Away to win by 3+6.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.560.7%

Home & Over 2.535.2%

Home & BTTS29.1%

Away & Over 2.524.6%

Away & BTTS21.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.3%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

Home & No BTTS16.6%

Draw & Under 2.511.4%

Away & No BTTS11.2%

Home & Under 2.510.5%

Draw & Over 2.510.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.3%

BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Away & Under 2.58.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.4%

HT Under 1.551.6%

HT Over 1.548.4%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

HT Home Win36.8%

HT Draw34.8%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score30.8%

HT/FT Home/Home28.6%

HT Away Win28.4%

Equal Goals Each Half21.5%

HT Under 0.519.6%

HT/FT Away/Away19.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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