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Russia · Premier League

FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala

Kick-off 11:00 · Sat, Oct 10
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
62% confidence
FC Orenburg 17.6% Draw 20.9% Dinamo Makhachkala 61.5%
Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 65%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
88%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Draw or Away (X2)
Double chance from Poisson
82%
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
65%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to Dinamo Makhachkala: 6 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-2
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
9.5%
Exact-score model probability
FC Orenburg
D D D L W L
Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:10 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
W L W W W W
Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:6 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Orenburg win17.6%
Draw20.9%
Dinamo Makhachkala win61.5%
Over 1.5 goals88.4%
Over 2.5 goals69.6%
Over 3.5 goals48.3%
Both teams to score65.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score
90.5%
Away Over 0.5
90.5%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)
89.7%
Match Result (11)
Draw or Away (X2)81.3%
Home or Away (12)81.1%
Draw No Bet - Away77.0%
Both Halves Over 0.569.0%
Goal in Both Halves69.0%
Away Win62.4%
Home or Draw (1X)37.5%
Draw No Bet - Home23.0%
Draw18.8%
Home Win18.7%
Exactly 1 Goal9.9%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals97.2%
Over 1.5 Goals87.3%
Under 5.5 Goals84.6%
Under 4.5 Goals70.9%
Over 2.5 Goals69.5%
2-4 Goals58.1%
Under 3.5 Goals51.8%
Total Goals Even50.0%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
1-3 Goals48.9%
Over 3.5 Goals48.2%
4+ Goals48.2%
3-4 Goals40.4%
2-3 Goals39.0%
Under 2.5 Goals30.5%
Over 4.5 Goals29.1%
1-2 Goals27.7%
Exactly 3 Goals21.3%
Exactly 2 Goals17.8%
Over 5.5 Goals15.4%
Under 1.5 Goals12.7%
Under 0.5 Goals2.8%
Exactly 0 Goals2.8%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score90.5%
Home Team to Score70.7%
Both Teams Score (GG)64.1%
No Both Teams Score (NG)35.9%
Away Clean Sheet29.2%
Away Win to Nil26.4%
Home Clean Sheet9.4%
Home Win to Nil6.7%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.590.5%
Home Over 0.570.7%
Away Over 1.568.2%
Away Over 2.541.9%
Away 3+ Goals41.9%
Home Exactly 135.9%
Home Over 1.534.8%
Home Exactly 029.2%
Away Exactly 226.3%
Away Exactly 122.3%
Home Exactly 222.1%
Home Over 2.512.7%
Home 3+ Goals12.7%
Away Exactly 09.4%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.6%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.9%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.6%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.7%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.7%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)81.3%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away81.3%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)77.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home77.7%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)62.4%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)59.3%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home59.3%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)40.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away40.6%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)37.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home37.5%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.2%
Away to win by 3+22.2%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.8%
Away to win by 121.8%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.4%
Away to win by 218.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.9%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.4%
Home to win by 111.4%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.3%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.3%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)7.3%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home7.3%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.2%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.0%
Home to win by 25.0%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.7%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.3%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.3%
Home to win by 3+2.3%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.7%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.4%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.556.1%
Away & Over 2.548.2%
Away & BTTS36.0%
Away & No BTTS26.4%
No BTTS & Under 2.522.4%
Draw & BTTS16.1%
Away & Under 2.514.2%
No BTTS & Over 2.513.4%
Home & Over 2.513.2%
Home & BTTS12.0%
Draw & Under 2.510.8%
Draw & Over 2.58.1%
BTTS & Under 2.58.0%
Home & No BTTS6.7%
Home & Under 2.55.5%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.580.1%
HT Under 1.552.0%
HT Over 1.548.0%
HT Away Win47.6%
2nd Half More Goals46.4%
HT/FT Away/Away41.4%
HT Draw33.4%
1st Half More Goals31.9%
HT Both Teams Score27.8%
Equal Goals Each Half21.6%
HT Under 0.519.9%
HT Home Win19.0%
HT/FT Draw/Away17.2%
HT/FT Home/Home10.5%
HT/FT Draw/Draw9.7%
HT/FT Draw/Home6.5%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%
HT/FT Home/Away3.9%
HT/FT Away/Home1.6%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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