Russia · Premier League

FC Orenburg vs FC Krasnodar

Kick-off 14:15 · Thu, Sep 17

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

FC Orenburg 11.8% Draw 18.0% FC Krasnodar 70.2%

Over 2.5 - 71% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Krasnodar: 6 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

FC Orenburg

D D D L W L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:10 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.67

FC Krasnodar

W W W W W L

Form 5-0-1 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

FC Orenburg 0wins ·0 draws ·FC Krasnodar 1wins

FC Orenburg 0-3 FC KrasnodarMay 17, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Orenburg win11.8%

Draw18.0%

FC Krasnodar win70.2%

Over 1.5 goals88.8%

Over 2.5 goals70.5%

Over 3.5 goals49.4%

Both teams to score60.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

87.7%

Over 2.5 Cards

87.5%

Draw or Away (X2)

87.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)87.1%

Draw No Bet - Away84.8%

Home or Away (12)83.7%

Away Win71.0%

Both Halves Over 0.569.8%

Goal in Both Halves69.8%

Home or Draw (1X)28.8%

Draw16.1%

Draw No Bet - Home15.2%

Home Win12.7%

Exactly 1 Goal9.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.7%

Under 5.5 Goals83.9%

Over 2.5 Goals70.4%

Under 4.5 Goals69.9%

2-4 Goals57.6%

Under 3.5 Goals50.7%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals49.3%

4+ Goals49.3%

1-3 Goals47.9%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.4%

Over 4.5 Goals30.1%

Under 2.5 Goals29.6%

1-2 Goals26.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Exactly 2 Goals17.3%

Over 5.5 Goals16.1%

Under 1.5 Goals12.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.5%

Home Team to Score64.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.3%

Away Clean Sheet35.5%

Away Win to Nil32.9%

Home Clean Sheet7.3%

Home Win to Nil4.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.5%

Away Over 1.573.4%

Home Over 0.564.4%

Away Over 2.548.3%

Away 3+ Goals48.3%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 035.5%

Home Over 1.527.7%

Away Exactly 225.0%

Away Exactly 119.2%

Home Exactly 219.0%

Home Over 2.58.7%

Home 3+ Goals8.7%

Away Exactly 07.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away87.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home84.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)71.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)70.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home70.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)50.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home50.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)49.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away49.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)29.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away29.6%

Away to win by 3+29.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home28.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.2%

Away to win by 121.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.2%

Away to win by 220.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away15.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.4%

Home to win by 18.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.2%

Home to win by 23.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.2%

Home to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.555.3%

BTTS & Over 2.552.6%

Away & BTTS38.1%

Away & No BTTS32.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.8%

Away & Under 2.515.7%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

Draw & Under 2.59.6%

Home & Over 2.58.6%

Home & BTTS8.0%

BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Draw & Over 2.56.5%

Home & No BTTS4.7%

Home & Under 2.54.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.6%

HT Away Win53.8%

HT Under 1.551.2%

HT/FT Away/Away48.9%

HT Over 1.548.8%

2nd Half More Goals46.6%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw31.5%

HT Both Teams Score25.7%

Equal Goals Each Half21.4%

HT Under 0.519.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.4%

HT Home Win14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.5%

HT/FT Home/Home7.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners84.9%

Under 10.5 Corners76.3%

Under 9.5 Corners65.3%

Away Most Corners63.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners56.0%

Under 8.5 Corners52.3%

Over 8.5 Corners47.7%

Over 9.5 Corners34.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners27.5%

Home Most Corners24.4%

Over 10.5 Corners23.7%

Over 11.5 Corners15.1%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards87.5%

Over 3.5 Cards73.5%

Under 5.5 Cards61.6%

Over 4.5 Cards56.0%

Under 4.5 Cards44.0%

Over 5.5 Cards38.4%

Under 3.5 Cards26.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards20.0%

Under 2.5 Cards12.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions