Russia · Premier League

FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv

Kick-off 15:00 · Fri, Aug 14

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

36% confidence

FC Orenburg 34.3% Draw 30.1% Lokomotiv 35.6%

Over 2.5 - 46% BTTS - 53%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 0.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to FC Orenburg: 7 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.7%

Exact-score model probability

FC Orenburg

D L W L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Lokomotiv

D L D L W D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Orenburg win34.3%

Draw30.1%

Lokomotiv win35.6%

Over 1.5 goals73.5%

Over 2.5 goals46.4%

Over 3.5 goals24.9%

Both teams to score53.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

92.0%

Under 4.5 Goals

88.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

84.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)73.2%

Draw or Away (X2)64.0%

Home or Draw (1X)62.8%

Both Halves Over 0.551.1%

Goal in Both Halves51.1%

Draw No Bet - Away50.8%

Draw No Bet - Home49.2%

Away Win37.2%

Home Win36.0%

Draw26.8%

Exactly 1 Goal20.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.6%

Over 0.5 Goals92.0%

Under 4.5 Goals88.7%

Under 3.5 Goals75.1%

Over 1.5 Goals71.9%

1-3 Goals67.1%

2-4 Goals60.6%

Under 2.5 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.4%

1-2 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals35.1%

Under 1.5 Goals28.1%

Exactly 2 Goals25.5%

Over 3.5 Goals24.9%

4+ Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Over 4.5 Goals11.3%

Under 0.5 Goals8.0%

Exactly 0 Goals8.0%

Over 5.5 Goals4.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score72.1%

Home Team to Score71.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)51.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.5%

Away Clean Sheet28.6%

Home Clean Sheet27.9%

Away Win to Nil20.6%

Home Win to Nil19.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.572.1%

Home Over 0.571.4%

Away Over 1.536.5%

Home Exactly 135.8%

Home Over 1.535.6%

Away Exactly 135.6%

Home Exactly 028.6%

Away Exactly 027.9%

Away Exactly 222.8%

Home Exactly 222.4%

Away Over 2.513.8%

Away 3+ Goals13.8%

Home Over 2.513.2%

Home 3+ Goals13.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.8%

Away to win by 120.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.4%

Home to win by 120.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)15.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home15.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.7%

Away to win by 210.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.3%

Home to win by 210.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.6%

Away to win by 3+5.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.3%

Home to win by 3+5.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.540.9%

BTTS & Over 2.538.8%

Draw & Under 2.520.7%

Away & No BTTS20.6%

Away & Over 2.520.5%

Home & No BTTS19.9%

Home & Over 2.519.8%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

Away & Under 2.516.7%

Away & BTTS16.6%

Home & Under 2.516.2%

Home & BTTS16.1%

BTTS & Under 2.512.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.6%

Draw & Over 2.56.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.568.5%

HT Over 0.568.0%

HT Draw43.3%

2nd Half More Goals42.7%

HT Under 0.532.0%

HT Over 1.531.5%

1st Half More Goals30.7%

HT Away Win28.7%

HT Home Win28.0%

Equal Goals Each Half26.6%

HT/FT Away/Away21.7%

HT/FT Home/Home20.8%

HT Both Teams Score18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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